Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 07/11, 03:10

Prediction: Juarez FC (W) vs Monterrey (W)

Team pages: Juarez FC (W) · Monterrey (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Juarez FC (W)1.12

Monterrey (W)1.97

1X2

20% 24% 56%

Juarez FC (W) Draw Monterrey (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Juarez FC (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Monterrey (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Juarez FC (W) 1–3–2 Monterrey (W) (6 last)

Juarez FC (W)1-1Monterrey (W)
Monterrey (W)1-1Juarez FC (W)
Monterrey (W)2-1Juarez FC (W)
Juarez FC (W)0-1Monterrey (W)
Juarez FC (W)1-0Monterrey (W)
Monterrey (W)2-2Juarez FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juarez FC (W) 1585 · Monterrey (W) 1593

	Juarez FC (W)	Draw	Monterrey (W)
Our model	20%	24%	56%
Market	20%	24%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Monterrey (W): 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juarez FC (W)	Monterrey (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.7	3.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.1	1.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.5	2.1 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.75

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:47 +23’	4.50	3.75	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juarez FC (W) 1–3–2 Monterrey (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Juarez FC (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Monterrey (W)
30/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Monterrey (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Juarez FC (W)
25/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Monterrey (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Juarez FC (W)
17/08/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Juarez FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Monterrey (W)
30/04/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Juarez FC (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Monterrey (W)
22/08/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Monterrey (W)	2-2 HT 1-0	Juarez FC (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Monterrey (W)	13	11	1	1	48	15	34
2	Tigres UANL (W)	13	10	2	1	43	12	32
3	Juarez FC (W)	13	10	0	3	20	10	30
4	Toluca (W)	13	8	2	3	29	20	26
5	Leon (W)	13	7	1	5	21	19	22
6	Santos Laguna (W)	13	6	1	6	17	23	19
7	Cruz Azul (W)	13	6	0	7	17	25	18
8	Atlante (W)	13	2	1	10	6	22	7
9	Queretaro (W)	13	2	0	11	11	31	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juarez FC (W)	Monterrey (W)
Puebla (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Queretaro (W)	2-1 W	4-0 W
Chivas Guadalajara (W)	0-1 L	3-2 W
Leon (W)	2-0 W	2-3 L
Necaxa (W)	1-0 W	10-0 W
Cruz Azul (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Monterrey (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juarez FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	2-0	2-1	11	4	W
25/10	Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	2-1	9	7	W
19/10	Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	2-0	2-1	1	6	W
05/10	Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
27/09	Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	3-0	5-1	2	3	W
22/09	Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
13/09	Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
08/09	Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
30/08	Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
23/08	Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	2-1	3-2	8	4	W

Monterrey (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	1-0	6-0	2	0	W
26/10	Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
18/10	Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
03/10	Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	1-3	4-3	1	3	W
27/09	Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
19/09	Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	2-0	10-0	6	2	W
13/09	Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	3-0	3-2	4	6	W
06/09	Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	3-0	5-1	3	4	W
30/08	Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
22/08	Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil	1-1	2-3	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juarez FC (W) vs Monterrey (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Monterrey (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Juarez FC (W) 20%, draw 24%, Monterrey (W) 56%.

How many goals are expected in Juarez FC (W) vs Monterrey (W)?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Juarez FC (W) 1.12 · Monterrey (W) 1.97), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Juarez FC (W) vs Monterrey (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.