Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 06/11, 04:10
Prediction: Santos Laguna (W) vs Tijuana (W)
Team pages: Santos Laguna (W) · Tijuana (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Santos Laguna (W)1.32
Tijuana (W)1.71
1X2
Santos Laguna (W)
Draw
Tijuana (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Santos Laguna (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Tijuana (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santos Laguna (W)
0–2–4
Tijuana (W)
(6 last)
- Santos Laguna (W)2-2Tijuana (W)
- Tijuana (W)1-1Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)1-3Tijuana (W)
- Tijuana (W)1-0Santos Laguna (W)
- Tijuana (W)5-2Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)0-3Tijuana (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santos Laguna (W) 1509 · Tijuana (W) 1446
| Santos Laguna (W) | Draw | Tijuana (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 26% | 46% |
| Market | 28% | 27% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santos Laguna (W) (rating 1509 vs 1446).
- H2H favours Tijuana (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santos Laguna (W) | Tijuana (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 1.7 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santos Laguna (W) 0–2–4 Tijuana (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Tijuana (W) |
| 08/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 07/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Tijuana (W) |
| 31/08/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 22/04/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tijuana (W) | 5-2 HT 4-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 29/08/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Tijuana (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 12 | 34 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 17 |
| 5 | Pachuca (W) | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 17 | 16 |
| 6 | Atlas (W) | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 11 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 44 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 53 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santos Laguna (W) | Tijuana (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Toluca (W) | 0-0 D | 0-6 L |
| Puebla (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Pachuca (W) | 1-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Atlante (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Juarez FC (W) | 2-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Santos Laguna (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santos Laguna (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/10 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/10 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 03/10 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 22/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
Tijuana (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/10 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 04/10 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 15/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santos Laguna (W) vs Tijuana (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tijuana (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Santos Laguna (W) 28%, draw 26%, Tijuana (W) 45%.
How many goals are expected in Santos Laguna (W) vs Tijuana (W)?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Santos Laguna (W) 1.32 · Tijuana (W) 1.71), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Santos Laguna (W) vs Tijuana (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.