Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 07/11, 00:00
Prediction: Pachuca (W) vs Puebla (W)
Team pages: Pachuca (W) · Puebla (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.62Total
Pachuca (W)3.31
Puebla (W)1.31
1X2
Pachuca (W)
Draw
Puebla (W)
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Pachuca (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Puebla (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pachuca (W)
5–1
Puebla (W)
(6 last)
- Pachuca (W)7-0Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)1-5Pachuca (W)
- Puebla (W)0-1Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)2-0Puebla (W)
- Pachuca (W)2-0Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)4-3Pachuca (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pachuca (W) 1498 · Puebla (W) 1396
| Pachuca (W) | Draw | Puebla (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 91% | 6% | 3% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.62 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pachuca (W) (rating 1498 vs 1396).
- H2H favours Pachuca (W): 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pachuca (W) | Puebla (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.7 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pachuca (W) 5–0–1 Puebla (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 13/07/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 1-5 HT 1-4 | Pachuca (W) |
| 16/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Pachuca (W) |
| 27/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 05/03/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 20/08/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 4-3 HT 2-2 | Pachuca (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 12 | 34 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 17 |
| 5 | Pachuca (W) | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 17 | 16 |
| 6 | Atlas (W) | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 11 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 44 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 53 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pachuca (W) | Puebla (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Queretaro (W) | 5-0 W | 2-6 L |
| Necaxa (W) | 5-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Santos Laguna (W) | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-2 L | 2-5 L |
| Leon (W) | 0-1 L | 2-5 L |
| Tijuana (W) | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Pachuca (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pachuca (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 19/10 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 05/10 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 4-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 21/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Puebla (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/10 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 03/10 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
4-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pachuca (W) vs Puebla (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pachuca (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Pachuca (W) 84%, draw 9%, Puebla (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Pachuca (W) vs Puebla (W)?
The model expects 4.62 goals (Pachuca (W) 3.31 · Puebla (W) 1.31), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pachuca (W) vs Puebla (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.