Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 07/11, 02:00

Prediction: Cruz Azul (W) vs Leon (W)

Team pages: Cruz Azul (W) · Leon (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Cruz Azul (W)1.59
Leon (W)1.28
1X2
44% 27% 30%
Cruz Azul (W) Draw Leon (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Cruz Azul (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLWWLLWLLW
Leon (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWLLWDWW
Head-to-head
Cruz Azul (W) 1–5 Leon (W) (6 last)
  • Leon (W)0-5Cruz Azul (W)
  • Cruz Azul (W)1-2Leon (W)
  • Cruz Azul (W)1-2Leon (W)
  • Leon (W)1-0Cruz Azul (W)
  • Leon (W)2-1Cruz Azul (W)
  • Cruz Azul (W)0-1Leon (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cruz Azul (W) 1498 · Leon (W) 1521
Cruz Azul (W)DrawLeon (W)
Our model43%27%30%
Market44%26%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Leon (W): 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cruz Azul (W)Leon (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.31.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.12.7 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.13.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cruz Azul (W) 1–0–5 Leon (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/01/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Leon (W)0-5
HT 0-2
Cruz Azul (W)
30/08/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Cruz Azul (W)1-2
HT 0-0
Leon (W)
22/03/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Cruz Azul (W)1-2
HT 0-1
Leon (W)
10/08/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Leon (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Cruz Azul (W)
14/04/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Leon (W)2-1
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul (W)
30/09/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Cruz Azul (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Leon (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Monterrey (W) 131111 481534
2 Tigres UANL (W) 131021 431232
3 Juarez FC (W) 131003 201030
4 Toluca (W) 13823 292026
5 Leon (W) 13715 211922
6 Santos Laguna (W) 13616 172319
7 Cruz Azul (W) 13607 172518
8 Atlante (W) 132110 6227
9 Queretaro (W) 132011 11316

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCruz Azul (W)Leon (W)
Toluca (W) 1-2 L 0-1 L
Monterrey (W) 0-1 L 3-2 W
Santos Laguna (W) 0-2 L 2-1 W
Juarez FC (W) 0-1 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Leon (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cruz Azul (W)

LLWWLLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 3-1 36 W
25/10 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-2 35 L
18/10 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-1 81 L
04/10 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 2-0 26 W
26/09 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-1 52 L
22/09 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-2 67 L
12/09 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 3-2 13 W
07/09 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 2-0 62 W
30/08 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 34 L
23/08 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-3 43 L

Leon (W)

WLWWLLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/11 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-0 74 W
27/10 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-1 34 W
23/10 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-1 82 D
20/10 Atlante (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 2-0 62 W
29/09 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 0-5 76 L
22/09 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-2 45 L
15/09 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-0 95 W
08/09 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 5-2 93 W
29/08 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 66 L
22/08 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 3-2 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cruz Azul (W) vs Leon (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cruz Azul (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Cruz Azul (W) 44%, draw 27%, Leon (W) 30%.

How many goals are expected in Cruz Azul (W) vs Leon (W)?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Cruz Azul (W) 1.59 · Leon (W) 1.28), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cruz Azul (W) vs Leon (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.