Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 07/11, 02:06
Prediction: Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Club America (W)
Team pages: Chivas Guadalajara (W) · Club America (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Chivas Guadalajara (W)1.27
Club America (W)2.42
1X2
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Draw
Club America (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Club America (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
2–1–3
Club America (W)
(6 last)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)3-2Club America (W)
- Club America (W)2-0Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)0-2Club America (W)
- Club America (W)0-2Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Club America (W)2-0Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)2-2Club America (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1546 · Club America (W) 1614
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | Draw | Club America (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| Market | 17% | 22% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (W) (rating 1546 vs 1614).
- H2H favours Club America (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 15.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | Club America (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1 | 4.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 2.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 4.8 / 9.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 2–1–3 Club America (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Club America (W) |
| 17/11/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 14/11/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Club America (W) |
| 14/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 05/05/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 02/05/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Club America (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 12 | 34 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 17 |
| 5 | Pachuca (W) | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 17 | 16 |
| 6 | Atlas (W) | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 11 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 44 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 53 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | Club America (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Atlante (W) | 1-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Necaxa (W) | 7-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Tijuana (W) | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Monterrey (W) | 2-3 L | 3-4 L |
| Atlas (W) | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Unam Pumas (W) | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Pachuca (W) | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Club America (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/10 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 21/10 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 7-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 05/10 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Club America (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 6-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/10 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 29/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 14/09 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 3-1 | 16 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Club America (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Club America (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Chivas Guadalajara (W) 18%, draw 21%, Club America (W) 62%.
How many goals are expected in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Club America (W)?
The model expects 3.69 goals (Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1.27 · Club America (W) 2.42), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Club America (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.