Football · Panama Liga Prom · 31/07, 03:00
Prediction: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Team pages: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1.44
CD Arabe Unido Reserves1.59
1X2
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Draw
CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
CD Arabe Unido Reserves
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
1–1–4
CD Arabe Unido Reserves
(6 last)
- CD Arabe Unido Reserves4-1Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1-2CD Arabe Unido Reserves
- CD Arabe Unido Reserves2-2Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1-3CD Arabe Unido Reserves
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves2-3CD Arabe Unido Reserves
- CD Arabe Unido Reserves1-2Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1428 · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1556
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | Draw | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Market | 33% | 27% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Arabe Unido Reserves (rating 1428 vs 1556).
- H2H favours CD Arabe Unido Reserves: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.7 | 3.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.8 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1–1–4 CD Arabe Unido Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
| 05/02/26 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 1-2 HT 0-1 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves |
| 18/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
| 24/07/25 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 1-3 HT 1-1 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves |
| 10/05/25 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 2-3 HT 0-1 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves |
| 15/02/25 Panama Liga Prom | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academia Costa Del Este | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Panama City FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | UMECIT Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | Champions FC Academy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | CD Arabe Unido Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| UMECIT Reserves | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Champions FC Academy | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Academia Costa Del Este | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Panama City FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| San Martin FC | 5-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Plaza Amador Reserves | 2-2 D | 4-4 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Arabe Unido Reserves (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/04 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/04 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 12/04 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-5 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 02/04 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 26/03 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
3-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 20/03 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 11/03 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/03 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
CD Arabe Unido Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Arabe Unido Reserves win (40%). Probabilities: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 33%, draw 27%, CD Arabe Unido Reserves 40%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1.44 · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1.59), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.