Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 17/10, 22:00
Prediction: Platense vs Lanus
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Platense0.84
Lanus1.06
1X2
Platense
Draw
Lanus
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Platense
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Lanus
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Platense
1–3–2
Lanus
(6 last)
- Lanus0-0Platense
- Lanus2-1Platense
- Platense0-0Lanus
- Lanus0-0Platense
- Lanus3-0Platense
- Platense2-1Lanus
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Platense 1488 · Lanus 1523
| Platense | Draw | Lanus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 34% | 39% |
| Market | 28% | 32% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lanus: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Platense | Lanus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.2 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Platense 1–3–2 Lanus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Lanus | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Platense |
| 20/09/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Lanus | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Platense |
| 09/03/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lanus |
| 11/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Lanus | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Platense |
| 11/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Lanus | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Platense |
| 15/09/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Platense | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Lanus |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | CA Independiente | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Newell's | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes LP | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 14 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Platense | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Argentinos Jrs | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Newell's | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Estudiantes LP | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Riestra | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Defensa y Justicia | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Boca Juniors | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| CA Independiente | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| CA Talleres de Córdoba | 0-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lanus (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Platense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 06/10 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/09 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Lanus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 22/09 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/09 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 12/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Platense vs Lanus?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lanus win (39%). Probabilities: Platense 28%, draw 33%, Lanus 39%.
How many goals are expected in Platense vs Lanus?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Platense 0.84 · Lanus 1.06), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Platense vs Lanus?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.