Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 24/10, 19:45
Prediction: Banfield vs Lanus
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
Banfield1
Lanus1.23
1X2
Banfield
Draw
Lanus
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Banfield
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Lanus
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banfield
2–2–2
Lanus
(6 last)
- Lanus1-0Banfield
- Banfield2-1Lanus
- Lanus1-1Banfield
- Banfield0-1Lanus
- Lanus1-1Banfield
- Banfield1-0Lanus
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banfield 1463 · Lanus 1552
| Banfield | Draw | Lanus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 31% | 40% |
| Market | 28% | 32% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lanus (rating 1463 vs 1552).
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banfield | Lanus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.2 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield 2–2–2 Lanus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Lanus | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Banfield |
| 04/11/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Lanus |
| 19/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Lanus | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Banfield |
| 30/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lanus |
| 26/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Lanus | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Banfield |
| 01/10/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Banfield | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lanus |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Gimnasia LP | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 22 |
| 5 | Sarmiento | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 20 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 19 |
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 19 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 9 | River Plate | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | CA Tigre | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banfield | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Argentinos Jrs | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Newell's | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Lanus (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 06/10 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Lanus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/10 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 22/09 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/09 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 12/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banfield vs Lanus?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lanus win (40%). Probabilities: Banfield 29%, draw 32%, Lanus 40%.
How many goals are expected in Banfield vs Lanus?
The model expects 2.23 goals (Banfield 1 · Lanus 1.23), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Banfield vs Lanus?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.