Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 23/10, 23:30

Prediction: Gimnasia Mendoza vs Platense

Team pages: Gimnasia Mendoza · Platense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

Gimnasia Mendoza1.14

Platense1.02

1X2

37% 32% 31%

Gimnasia Mendoza Draw Platense

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Gimnasia Mendoza 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLDLWL

Platense 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLDLLDDL

Head-to-head

Gimnasia Mendoza 0–1–1 Platense (2 last)

Platense1-1Gimnasia Mendoza
Gimnasia Mendoza0-3Platense

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gimnasia Mendoza 1505 · Platense 1487

	Gimnasia Mendoza	Draw	Platense
Our model	37%	32%	31%
Market	37%	32%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gimnasia Mendoza	Platense
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	0.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.7	1.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.50

X2.88

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.73

2 (0)2.08

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 2.96
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.39 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:03 +471’	2.50	2.88	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:21 +8’	2.82	2.86	2.81
02:14 +12’	2.68▼	2.98▲	2.93▲
12:48 +1’	2.37▼	2.98	3.43▲
13:15 +85’	2.40▲	2.96▼	3.39▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia Mendoza 0–1–1 Platense

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Platense	1-1 HT 1-0	Gimnasia Mendoza
24/02/19 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia Mendoza	0-3 HT 0-3	Platense

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Instituto AC Cordoba	13	9	2	2	20	10	29
2	Boca Juniors	13	6	6	1	21	14	24
3	Defensa y Justicia	13	7	3	3	18	12	24
4	Velez Sarsfield	13	6	6	1	18	13	24
5	Lanus	13	7	2	4	16	9	23
6	Gimnasia Mendoza	13	6	2	5	15	13	20
7	CA Independiente	12	5	3	4	11	12	18
8	Newell's	12	4	5	3	11	9	17
9	Estudiantes LP	12	4	2	6	15	13	14
10	San Lorenzo	12	4	2	6	5	11	14
11	Union Santa Fe	12	4	1	7	17	21	13
12	Deportivo Riestra	12	2	5	5	9	12	11
13	Platense	13	2	5	6	12	19	11
14	Central Cordoba	12	2	4	6	10	16	10
15	CA Talleres de Córdoba	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gimnasia Mendoza	Platense
Velez Sarsfield	0-1 L	2-2 D
Newell's	1-0 W	0-1 L
Estudiantes LP	0-3 L	1-2 L
Deportivo Riestra	0-0 D	1-1 D
Defensa y Justicia	0-2 L	0-1 L
Boca Juniors	2-2 D	1-1 D
CA Independiente	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Platense (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gimnasia Mendoza

LWWWDLDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
12/10	Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
06/10	Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-3	5	4	L
19/09	Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
12/09	Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
05/09	Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional	1-2	2-2	5	5	D
31/08	CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
22/08	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	2-0	3-2	1	3	W
18/08	CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional	2-0	3-1	7	8	W
09/08	Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	2	8	L

Platense

WDWLDLLDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-1	12	4	L
11/10	Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
06/10	Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
20/09	Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
12/09	Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	1-2	2	7	L
05/09	Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
01/09	Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
23/08	Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
16/08	Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
09/08	CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Platense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia Mendoza win (37%). Probabilities: Gimnasia Mendoza 37%, draw 32%, Platense 31%.

How many goals are expected in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Platense?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Gimnasia Mendoza 1.14 · Platense 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Platense?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.