Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 05/11, 19:00
Prediction: CA Aldosivi vs River Plate
Team pages: CA Aldosivi · River Plate
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
CA Aldosivi0.75
River Plate2.17
1X2
CA Aldosivi
Draw
River Plate
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Aldosivi
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
River Plate
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Aldosivi
1–5
River Plate
(6 last)
- River Plate1-3CA Aldosivi
- River Plate3-1CA Aldosivi
- CA Aldosivi0-3River Plate
- River Plate2-0CA Aldosivi
- River Plate4-1CA Aldosivi
- CA Aldosivi1-2River Plate
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Aldosivi 1443 · River Plate 1546
| CA Aldosivi | Draw | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 20% | 69% |
| Market | 10% | 22% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours River Plate (rating 1443 vs 1546).
- H2H favours River Plate: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Aldosivi | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 70/0/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.4 | 3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Aldosivi 1–0–5 River Plate
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Argentina Cup | River Plate | 1-3 HT 0-2 | CA Aldosivi |
| 26/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | River Plate | 3-1 HT 1-0 | CA Aldosivi |
| 24/07/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Aldosivi | 0-3 HT 0-0 | River Plate |
| 27/08/21 Argentina Liga Profesional | River Plate | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA Aldosivi |
| 09/05/21 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | River Plate | 4-1 HT 2-1 | CA Aldosivi |
| 03/11/19 Argentina Superliga | CA Aldosivi | 1-2 HT 0-1 | River Plate |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 28 |
| 4 | River Plate | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 23 |
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 8 | Sarmiento | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 21 |
| 9 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 11 | CA Tigre | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Banfield | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 14 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Aldosivi | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Belgrano | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Sarmiento | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Huracan | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Atlético Tucumán | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 3-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Banfield | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 5 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: River Plate (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Aldosivi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 09/10 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 04/10 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 21/09 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 30/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
River Plate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 25/10 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/10 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/10 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Aldosivi vs River Plate?
According to our model, the most likely result is an River Plate win (69%). Probabilities: CA Aldosivi 10%, draw 21%, River Plate 69%.
How many goals are expected in CA Aldosivi vs River Plate?
The model expects 2.91 goals (CA Aldosivi 0.75 · River Plate 2.17), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Aldosivi vs River Plate?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.