Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 11/10, 19:45
Prediction: San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
Team pages: San Lorenzo · Deportivo Riestra
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.62Total
San Lorenzo0.9
Deportivo Riestra0.72
1X2
San Lorenzo
Draw
Deportivo Riestra
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
San Lorenzo
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Riestra
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Lorenzo
1–3–1
Deportivo Riestra
(5 last)
- San Lorenzo1-1Deportivo Riestra
- Deportivo Riestra1-1San Lorenzo
- San Lorenzo1-0Deportivo Riestra
- Deportivo Riestra0-0San Lorenzo
- Deportivo Riestra1-0San Lorenzo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Lorenzo 1474 · Deportivo Riestra 1453
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Deportivo Riestra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 37% | 26% |
| Market | 38% | 34% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.62 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Lorenzo | Deportivo Riestra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.8 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Lorenzo 1–3–1 Deportivo Riestra
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 Argentina Cup | San Lorenzo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Riestra |
| 25/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Deportivo Riestra | 1-1 HT 1-0 | San Lorenzo |
| 31/10/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | San Lorenzo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Riestra |
| 20/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Deportivo Riestra | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Lorenzo |
| 12/05/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Deportivo Riestra | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Lorenzo |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Newell's | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | CA Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes LP | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Lorenzo | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|
| Defensa y Justicia | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Huracan | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Central Cordoba | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Gimnasia Mendoza | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Riestra (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Lorenzo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 14/09 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 01/09 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/08 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/07 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Deportivo Riestra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/09 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/07 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Lorenzo win (37%). Probabilities: San Lorenzo 37%, draw 36%, Deportivo Riestra 27%.
How many goals are expected in San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
The model expects 1.62 goals (San Lorenzo 0.9 · Deportivo Riestra 0.72), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.