Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 11/10, 00:15
Prediction: CA Tigre vs Banfield
Team pages: CA Tigre · Banfield
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
CA Tigre1.49
Banfield0.73
1X2
CA Tigre
Draw
Banfield
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Tigre
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Banfield
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Tigre
3–3
Banfield
(6 last)
- Banfield1-0CA Tigre
- Banfield1-0CA Tigre
- CA Tigre2-0Banfield
- CA Tigre1-0Banfield
- Banfield0-1CA Tigre
- CA Tigre1-2Banfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Tigre 1455 · Banfield 1460
| CA Tigre | Draw | Banfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 29% | 17% |
| Market | 54% | 29% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Tigre | Banfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.1 | 0.8 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Tigre 3–0–3 Banfield
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Tigre |
| 30/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Tigre |
| 27/06/25 Argentina Cup | CA Tigre | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Banfield |
| 25/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Banfield |
| 18/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Tigre |
| 05/07/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Banfield |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Independiente Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 18 |
| 6 | Gimnasia LP | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarmiento | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
| 11 | CA Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Tigre | Banfield |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia LP | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Barracas Central | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| CA Aldosivi | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| River Plate | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Belgrano | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Racing Club | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Tigre (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Tigre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/09 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 13/09 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Banfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 29/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Tigre vs Banfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Tigre win (54%). Probabilities: CA Tigre 54%, draw 29%, Banfield 17%.
How many goals are expected in CA Tigre vs Banfield?
The model expects 2.23 goals (CA Tigre 1.49 · Banfield 0.73), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Tigre vs Banfield?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.