Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 24/10, 02:15
Prediction: CA Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán
Team pages: CA Tigre · Atlético Tucumán
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
CA Tigre1.16
Atlético Tucumán0.87
1X2
CA Tigre
Draw
Atlético Tucumán
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Tigre
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Atlético Tucumán
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Tigre
3–3–0
Atlético Tucumán
(6 last)
- Atlético Tucumán0-0CA Tigre
- Atlético Tucumán1-2CA Tigre
- CA Tigre0-0Atlético Tucumán
- CA Tigre0-0Atlético Tucumán
- Atlético Tucumán0-1CA Tigre
- CA Tigre5-0Atlético Tucumán
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Tigre 1462 · Atlético Tucumán 1466
| CA Tigre | Draw | Atlético Tucumán | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 33% | 26% |
| Market | 41% | 32% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA Tigre: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Tigre | Atlético Tucumán | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 2.5 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Tigre 3–3–0 Atlético Tucumán
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Tigre |
| 08/10/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 1-2 HT 1-1 | CA Tigre |
| 21/05/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 17/08/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 25/05/19 Argentina Superliga Cup | Atlético Tucumán | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Tigre |
| 18/05/19 Argentina Superliga Cup | CA Tigre | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Gimnasia LP | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 22 |
| 5 | Sarmiento | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 20 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 19 |
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 19 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 9 | River Plate | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | CA Tigre | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Tigre | Atlético Tucumán |
|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Gimnasia LP | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Barracas Central | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| CA Aldosivi | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| River Plate | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Tigre (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Tigre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 05/10 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/09 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 13/09 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Atlético Tucumán
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/10 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 03/10 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Tigre win (41%). Probabilities: CA Tigre 41%, draw 33%, Atlético Tucumán 26%.
How many goals are expected in CA Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán?
The model expects 2.03 goals (CA Tigre 1.16 · Atlético Tucumán 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Tigre vs Atlético Tucumán?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.