Football · Brazil Serie B · 09/08, 23:00

Prediction: Cuiaba vs Fortaleza

Team pages: Cuiaba · Fortaleza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Cuiaba0.99
Fortaleza0.83
1X2
38% 33% 29%
Cuiaba Draw Fortaleza
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Cuiaba 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLDWDLLD
Fortaleza 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLDWWLWLWL
Head-to-head
Cuiaba 3–1–2 Fortaleza (6 last)
  • Fortaleza0-0Cuiaba
  • Fortaleza1-0Cuiaba
  • Cuiaba5-0Fortaleza
  • Cuiaba2-1Fortaleza
  • Fortaleza0-1Cuiaba
  • Cuiaba0-1Fortaleza
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cuiaba 1504 · Fortaleza 1483
CuiabaDrawFortaleza
Our model37%35%28%
Market38%32%30%
Estimated total (ours) 1.82 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Cuiaba: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 14.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CuiabaFortaleza
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 10.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)4.1 / 7.53.1 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.14.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cuiaba 312 Fortaleza

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/04/26
Brazil Serie B
Fortaleza0-0
HT 0-0
Cuiaba
29/09/24
Brazil Serie A
Fortaleza1-0
HT 1-0
Cuiaba
16/06/24
Brazil Serie A
Cuiaba5-0
HT 4-0
Fortaleza
12/11/23
Brazil Serie A
Cuiaba2-1
HT 1-0
Fortaleza
16/07/23
Brazil Serie A
Fortaleza0-1
HT 0-1
Cuiaba
31/07/22
Brazil Serie A
Cuiaba0-1
HT 0-1
Fortaleza

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Criciuma 201172 231240
2 EC Juventude 201055 221235
3 Operario PR 201055 282535
4 Fortaleza 201046 231934
5 Vila Nova 201046 272434
6 Gremio Novorizontino 20965 321933
7 Atletico GO 20875 232031
8 CRB 20857 313229
9 Goias 20857 212629
10 Sport Recife 206113 251929
11 Athletic Club MG 206104 191828
12 Sao Bernardo SP 20767 282327
13 Nautico 20749 242425
14 Cuiaba 205105 151525
15 Botafogo SP 20668 242124
16 Ceara 20578 202522
17 Londrina 205510 273120
18 Avai 205510 212720
19 America MG 202513 143111
20 Ponte Preta 202315 15399

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCuiabaFortaleza
Sport Recife 1-1 D 2-1 W
Atletico GO 0-1 L 0-1 L
America MG 1-0 W 0-3 L
Vila Nova 1-0 W 1-2 L
Ponte Preta 2-1 W 2-0 W
CRB 2-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cuiaba (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cuiaba

WWWLDWDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/07 Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-1 112 D
24/07 Atletico GO
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-1 86 L
18/07 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-2 55 L
12/07 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Serie B
2-2 2-2 74 D
03/07 America MG
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 72 W
26/06 Londrina
Brazil Serie B
0-2 2-2 97 D
21/06 Avai
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-1 132 L
14/06 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 52 W
10/06 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
1-1 2-1 36 W
01/06 CRB
Brazil Serie B
2-0 2-0 72 W

Fortaleza

WLDWWLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Palmeiras
Copa do Brasil
0-0 0-3 73 L
29/07 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 103 W
22/07 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
0-2 1-2 44 L
18/07 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-0 105 W
12/07 Atletico GO
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-1 117 L
03/07 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
0-0 2-0 77 W
28/06 Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-1 25 W
21/06 CRB
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-1 72 D
17/06 America MG
Brazil Serie B
0-2 0-3 103 L
10/06 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-0 48 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cuiaba vs Fortaleza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cuiaba win (38%). Probabilities: Cuiaba 38%, draw 33%, Fortaleza 29%.

How many goals are expected in Cuiaba vs Fortaleza?

The model expects 1.82 goals (Cuiaba 0.99 · Fortaleza 0.83), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Cuiaba vs Fortaleza?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.