Prediction: Cuiaba vs Fortaleza
Team pages: Cuiaba · Fortaleza
- Fortaleza0-0Cuiaba
- Fortaleza1-0Cuiaba
- Cuiaba5-0Fortaleza
- Cuiaba2-1Fortaleza
- Fortaleza0-1Cuiaba
- Cuiaba0-1Fortaleza
| Cuiaba | Draw | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 35% | 28% |
| Market | 38% | 32% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Cuiaba: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 14.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cuiaba | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 7.5 | 3.1 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cuiaba 3–1–2 Fortaleza
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 Brazil Serie B | Fortaleza | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cuiaba |
| 29/09/24 Brazil Serie A | Fortaleza | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cuiaba |
| 16/06/24 Brazil Serie A | Cuiaba | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Fortaleza |
| 12/11/23 Brazil Serie A | Cuiaba | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Fortaleza |
| 16/07/23 Brazil Serie A | Fortaleza | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cuiaba |
| 31/07/22 Brazil Serie A | Cuiaba | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Fortaleza |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
| 3 | Operario PR | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 35 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 34 |
| 5 | Vila Nova | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 34 |
| 6 | Gremio Novorizontino | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 33 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 31 |
| 8 | CRB | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 32 | 29 |
| 9 | Goias | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 29 |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 29 |
| 11 | Athletic Club MG | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 28 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo SP | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 23 | 27 |
| 13 | Nautico | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 25 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 21 | 24 |
| 16 | Ceara | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 22 |
| 17 | Londrina | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 31 | 20 |
| 18 | Avai | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 20 |
| 19 | America MG | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 31 | 11 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 39 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cuiaba | Fortaleza |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Atletico GO | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| America MG | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Vila Nova | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Ponte Preta | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| CRB | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Cuiaba (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cuiaba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 24/07 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/06 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Fortaleza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Palmeiras Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 03/07 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 17/06 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cuiaba vs Fortaleza?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cuiaba win (38%). Probabilities: Cuiaba 38%, draw 33%, Fortaleza 29%.
How many goals are expected in Cuiaba vs Fortaleza?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Cuiaba 0.99 · Fortaleza 0.83), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Cuiaba vs Fortaleza?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.

