Football · Brazil Serie B · 19/08, 02:30

Prediction: Nautico vs Ceara

Team pages: Nautico · Ceara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Nautico1.31

Ceara1.04

1X2

41% 30% 28%

Nautico Draw Ceara

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nautico 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLWDDD

Ceara 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLDDLWWL

Head-to-head

Nautico 2–1–3 Ceara (6 last)

Ceara1-0Nautico
Nautico1-0Ceara
Nautico0-0Ceara
Ceara0-2Nautico
Ceara1-0Nautico
Nautico0-2Ceara

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ceara: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nautico	Ceara
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.7	1.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.96

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 10:10

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.22▲	Pinn 2.22
X	2.75 → 2.79▲	Pinn 2.79
2	4.19 → 4.04▼	Pinn 4.04

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:48	2.15	2.75	4.19
00:28	2.19▲	2.79▲	4.17▼
10:10	2.22▲	2.79	4.04▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nautico 2–1–3 Ceara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Brazil Serie B	Ceara	1-0 HT 0-0	Nautico
23/01/25 Brazil Copa Nordeste	Nautico	1-0 HT 0-0	Ceara
15/02/24 Brazil Copa Nordeste	Nautico	0-0 HT 0-0	Ceara
06/04/19 Brazil Copa Nordeste	Ceara	0-2 HT 0-0	Nautico
26/08/17 Brazil Serie B	Ceara	1-0 HT 1-0	Nautico
27/05/17 Brazil Serie B	Nautico	0-2 HT 0-0	Ceara

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	22	12	7	3	24	14	43
2	EC Juventude	22	11	6	5	23	12	39
3	Vila Nova	22	11	4	7	29	25	37
4	Fortaleza	22	10	6	6	24	20	36
5	Operario PR	21	10	5	6	29	28	35
6	Sport Recife	22	8	11	3	28	20	35
7	Gremio Novorizontino	21	9	6	6	32	20	33
8	CRB	21	9	5	7	32	32	32
9	Goias	22	9	5	8	22	27	32
10	Atletico GO	22	8	8	6	24	23	32
11	Athletic Club MG	21	7	10	4	21	18	31
12	Sao Bernardo SP	22	8	6	8	31	25	30
13	Botafogo SP	22	8	6	8	27	22	30
14	Cuiaba	22	6	11	5	19	17	29
15	Nautico	22	7	6	9	26	26	27
16	Ceara	22	6	7	9	23	28	25
17	Londrina	22	5	5	12	28	34	20
18	Avai	21	5	5	11	21	28	20
19	America MG	21	2	5	14	15	33	11
20	Ponte Preta	22	2	4	16	16	42	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nautico	Ceara
Ponte Preta	1-1 D	2-0 W
Criciuma	0-0 D	1-1 D
CRB	1-2 L	0-1 L
EC Juventude	0-0 D	0-2 L
Goias	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nautico (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nautico

DLLDLLWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	6	9	D
09/08	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
26/07	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
23/07	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	8	6	W
17/07	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
12/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
06/07	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
28/06	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
21/06	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-4	3-4	10	4	L
15/06	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-2	4	6	D

Ceara

DLLLDDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
08/08	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
26/07	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-1	4-3	3	3	W
23/07	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
18/07	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
14/07	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
05/07	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	14	3	L
28/06	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-2	4	1	L
21/06	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
16/06	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	3	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nautico vs Ceara?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nautico win (41%). Probabilities: Nautico 41%, draw 30%, Ceara 28%.

How many goals are expected in Nautico vs Ceara?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Nautico 1.31 · Ceara 1.04), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nautico vs Ceara?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.