Football · Brazil Serie B · 19/08, 02:35

Prediction: Goias vs EC Juventude

Team pages: Goias · EC Juventude

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.87Total

Goias0.9

EC Juventude0.97

1X2

31% 35% 35%

Goias Draw EC Juventude

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Goias 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWDWDLWL

EC Juventude 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWDLWD

Head-to-head

Goias 3–2–1 EC Juventude (6 last)

EC Juventude2-0Goias
Goias1-0EC Juventude
EC Juventude0-0Goias
EC Juventude3-5Goias
Goias1-1EC Juventude
Goias1-0EC Juventude

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EC Juventude (rating 1486 vs 1552).
H2H favours Goias: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Goias	EC Juventude
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	0.9 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.7	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.37▲	Pinn 2.37
X	2.88 → 2.91▲	Pinn 2.91
2	3.41 → 3.45▲	Pinn 3.45

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:28	2.35	2.88	3.41
02:32 +2’	2.37▲	2.91▲	3.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Goias 3–2–1 EC Juventude

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	2-0 HT 1-0	Goias
05/11/22 Brazil Serie A	Goias	1-0 HT 0-0	EC Juventude
17/07/22 Brazil Serie A	EC Juventude	0-0 HT 0-0	Goias
13/10/18 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	3-5 HT 2-0	Goias
22/06/18 Brazil Serie B	Goias	1-1 HT 1-1	EC Juventude
18/10/17 Brazil Serie B	Goias	1-0 HT 0-0	EC Juventude

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	22	12	7	3	24	14	43
2	EC Juventude	22	11	6	5	23	12	39
3	Vila Nova	22	11	4	7	29	25	37
4	Fortaleza	22	10	6	6	24	20	36
5	Operario PR	21	10	5	6	29	28	35
6	Sport Recife	22	8	11	3	28	20	35
7	Gremio Novorizontino	21	9	6	6	32	20	33
8	CRB	21	9	5	7	32	32	32
9	Goias	22	9	5	8	22	27	32
10	Atletico GO	22	8	8	6	24	23	32
11	Athletic Club MG	21	7	10	4	21	18	31
12	Sao Bernardo SP	22	8	6	8	31	25	30
13	Botafogo SP	22	8	6	8	27	22	30
14	Cuiaba	22	6	11	5	19	17	29
15	Nautico	22	7	6	9	26	26	27
16	Ceara	22	6	7	9	23	28	25
17	Londrina	22	5	5	12	28	34	20
18	Avai	21	5	5	11	21	28	20
19	America MG	21	2	5	14	15	33	11
20	Ponte Preta	22	2	4	16	16	42	10

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Goias	EC Juventude
Ceara	2-0 W	2-0 W
Nautico	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Goias (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Goias

DLWWDWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
11/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
26/07	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
23/07	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
18/07	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
13/07	CRB Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-2	1	3	D
05/07	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
28/06	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
21/06	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-3	0-3	10	3	L
14/06	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	4	8	D

EC Juventude

WDWWLWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
09/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
05/08	Atletico Mineiro Copa do Brasil	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
02/08	Atletico Mineiro Copa do Brasil	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
29/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
24/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-2	2-4	9	4	L
18/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
11/07	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
06/07	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
28/06	Ceara Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Goias vs EC Juventude?

According to our model, the most likely result is an EC Juventude win (35%). Probabilities: Goias 31%, draw 35%, EC Juventude 35%.

How many goals are expected in Goias vs EC Juventude?

The model expects 1.87 goals (Goias 0.9 · EC Juventude 0.97), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Goias vs EC Juventude?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.