Football · Hungary NBI Women · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: Pecsi MFC (W) vs Puskas FC (W)

Team pages: Pecsi MFC (W) · Puskas FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

Pecsi MFC (W)0.95

Puskas FC (W)2.95

1X2

7% 13% 80%

Pecsi MFC (W) Draw Puskas FC (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

0-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Pecsi MFC (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWLLDD

Puskas FC (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Pecsi MFC (W) 0–5 Puskas FC (W) (5 last)

Puskas FC (W)5-0Pecsi MFC (W)
Pecsi MFC (W)1-6Puskas FC (W)
Puskas FC (W)1-0Pecsi MFC (W)
Pecsi MFC (W)0-1Puskas FC (W)
Puskas FC (W)5-0Pecsi MFC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pecsi MFC (W) 1462 · Puskas FC (W) 1567

	Pecsi MFC (W)	Draw	Puskas FC (W)
Our model	8%	14%	77%
Market	6%	12%	82%

Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puskas FC (W) (rating 1462 vs 1567).
H2H favours Puskas FC (W): 5-0-0.
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pecsi MFC (W)	Puskas FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	4.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	1.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	63/13/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.5	5.9 / 9.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

115.00

X8.00

21.13

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.25)1.88

2 (-2.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:11 +3’	15.00	8.00	1.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pecsi MFC (W) 0–0–5 Puskas FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Hungary NBI Women	Puskas FC (W)	5-0 HT 2-0	Pecsi MFC (W)
25/04/26 Hungary NBI Women	Pecsi MFC (W)	1-6 HT 1-2	Puskas FC (W)
15/10/25 Hungary NBI Women	Puskas FC (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Pecsi MFC (W)
26/04/25 Hungary NBI Women	Pecsi MFC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Puskas FC (W)
03/11/24 Hungary NBI Women	Puskas FC (W)	5-0 HT 3-0	Pecsi MFC (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ujpest (W)	12	9	1	2	25	7	28
2	Puskas FC (W)	12	8	2	2	58	14	26
3	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	11	8	2	1	29	8	26
4	Gyor Eto FC (W)	11	8	1	2	35	6	25
5	MTK Hungaria (W)	12	7	3	2	20	6	24
6	Kispest Honved (W)	12	7	2	3	31	8	23
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	12	4	3	5	14	19	15
8	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	12	4	1	7	15	22	13
9	Fehervar FC (W)	12	3	0	9	13	60	9
10	Astra HFC (W)	12	2	2	8	9	19	8
11	Diosgyori VTK (W)	12	1	1	10	14	52	4
12	Szekszardi (W)	12	1	0	11	3	45	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pecsi MFC (W)	Puskas FC (W)
Diosgyori VTK (W)	0-0 D	10-2 W
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Ujpest (W)	0-3 L	1-1 D
Gyor Eto FC (W)	0-4 L	1-3 L
Astra HFC (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Szekszardi (W)	4-0 W	5-0 W
MTK Hungaria (W)	0-0 D	3-2 W
Fehervar FC (W)	3-2 W	17-0 W
Kispest Honved (W)	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Puskas FC (W) (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pecsi MFC (W)

LWLDWWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	11	5	D
17/10	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
25/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-3	3	0	L
19/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	0-4	1	1	L
16/09	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
12/09	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	4-0	6	4	W
05/09	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
30/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
26/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	3-2	–	–	W
22/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-1	–	–	L

Puskas FC (W)

WLDDWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	5-0	14	0	W
17/10	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	3-2	5	6	W
19/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	6-0	17-0	18	0	W
16/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-2	11	5	L
13/09	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	2-1	16	2	W
05/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	10-2	–	–	W
29/08	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	2-2	7	0	D
26/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
22/08	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	1-3	7	3	L
15/08	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	5-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pecsi MFC (W) vs Puskas FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Puskas FC (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Pecsi MFC (W) 7%, draw 13%, Puskas FC (W) 80%.

How many goals are expected in Pecsi MFC (W) vs Puskas FC (W)?

The model expects 3.9 goals (Pecsi MFC (W) 0.95 · Puskas FC (W) 2.95), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pecsi MFC (W) vs Puskas FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.