Football · Hungary NBI Women · 07/11, 12:30

Prediction: Kispest Honved (W) vs Pecsi MFC (W)

Team pages: Kispest Honved (W) · Pecsi MFC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Kispest Honved (W)2.48

Pecsi MFC (W)0.72

1X2

76% 16% 9%

Kispest Honved (W) Draw Pecsi MFC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Kispest Honved (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWWWDW

Pecsi MFC (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLLDDL

Head-to-head

Kispest Honved (W) 2–2–1 Pecsi MFC (W) (5 last)

Pecsi MFC (W)0-1Kispest Honved (W)
Kispest Honved (W)2-2Pecsi MFC (W)
Pecsi MFC (W)2-1Kispest Honved (W)
Kispest Honved (W)1-1Pecsi MFC (W)
Pecsi MFC (W)1-2Kispest Honved (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kispest Honved (W) 1583 · Pecsi MFC (W) 1461

	Kispest Honved (W)	Draw	Pecsi MFC (W)
Our model	75%	17%	8%
Market	76%	15%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kispest Honved (W) (rating 1583 vs 1461).
H2H favours Kispest Honved (W): 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kispest Honved (W)	Pecsi MFC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 0.7	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.7	1.3 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.00

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.93

2 (+2)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:13 +4’	1.18	6.00	10.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kispest Honved (W) 2–2–1 Pecsi MFC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Hungary NBI Women	Pecsi MFC (W)	0-1	Kispest Honved (W)
03/05/26 Hungary NBI Women	Kispest Honved (W)	2-2 HT 0-0	Pecsi MFC (W)
01/11/25 Hungary NBI Women	Pecsi MFC (W)	2-1	Kispest Honved (W)
13/04/25 Hungary NBI Women	Kispest Honved (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Pecsi MFC (W)
12/10/24 Hungary NBI Women	Pecsi MFC (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Kispest Honved (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas FC (W)	13	9	2	2	63	14	29
2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	12	9	2	1	30	8	29
3	Gyor Eto FC (W)	12	9	1	2	46	7	28
4	Ujpest (W)	13	9	1	3	25	8	28
5	MTK Hungaria (W)	13	8	3	2	29	6	27
6	Kispest Honved (W)	13	8	2	3	33	8	26
7	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	13	5	1	7	16	22	16
8	Pecsi MFC (W)	13	4	3	6	14	24	15
9	Fehervar FC (W)	13	3	0	10	13	69	9
10	Astra HFC (W)	13	2	2	9	9	20	8
11	Diosgyori VTK (W)	13	1	1	11	15	63	4
12	Szekszardi (W)	13	1	0	12	3	47	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kispest Honved (W)	Pecsi MFC (W)
Szekszardi (W)	2-0 W	4-0 W
MTK Hungaria (W)	0-0 D	0-0 D
Szent Mihaly SE (W)	6-1 W	0-2 L
Fehervar FC (W)	9-0 W	3-2 W
Astra HFC (W)	3-1 W	2-0 W
Puskas FC (W)	2-0 W	0-5 L
Diosgyori VTK (W)	5-0 W	0-0 D
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Ujpest (W)	1-2 L	0-3 L
Gyor Eto FC (W)	2-2 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Kispest Honved (W) (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kispest Honved (W)

DLLWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	9	0	W
25/10	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
18/10	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-1	6-1	1	4	W
26/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	5-0	9-0	7	1	W
20/09	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	3-1	4	2	W
16/09	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	2-0	1	5	W
13/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	5-0	–	–	W
05/09	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
30/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
26/08	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-2	5	0	D

Pecsi MFC (W)

WLDWWLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-3	0-5	0	4	L
24/10	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	11	5	D
17/10	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
25/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-3	3	0	L
19/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	0-4	1	1	L
16/09	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
12/09	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	4-0	6	4	W
05/09	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
30/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
26/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kispest Honved (W) vs Pecsi MFC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kispest Honved (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Kispest Honved (W) 76%, draw 16%, Pecsi MFC (W) 9%.

How many goals are expected in Kispest Honved (W) vs Pecsi MFC (W)?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Kispest Honved (W) 2.48 · Pecsi MFC (W) 0.72), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kispest Honved (W) vs Pecsi MFC (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.