Football · Hungary NBI Women · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Ujpest (W)

Team pages: Diosgyori VTK (W) · Ujpest (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.76Total

Diosgyori VTK (W)1.38

Ujpest (W)3.38

1X2

6% 9% 85%

Diosgyori VTK (W) Draw Ujpest (W)

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Diosgyori VTK (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWDL

Ujpest (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Diosgyori VTK (W) 3–3 Ujpest (W) (6 last)

Ujpest (W)7-1Diosgyori VTK (W)
Ujpest (W)8-0Diosgyori VTK (W)
Diosgyori VTK (W)1-4Ujpest (W)
Ujpest (W)0-5Diosgyori VTK (W)
Diosgyori VTK (W)4-0Ujpest (W)
Ujpest (W)0-12Diosgyori VTK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diosgyori VTK (W) 1385 · Ujpest (W) 1581

	Diosgyori VTK (W)	Draw	Ujpest (W)
Our model	11%	14%	75%
Market	2%	5%	93%

Estimated total (ours) 4.76 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ujpest (W) (rating 1385 vs 1581).
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Diosgyori VTK (W)	Ujpest (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 4.7	1.6 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 2.3	0.3 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.2	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

151.00

X19.00

21.02

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4)2.00

2 (-4)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 51.93

Under 51.88

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 20:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	17.00 → 51.00▲	Bet365 51.00
X	9.50 → 19.00▲	Bet365 19.00
2	1.05 → 1.02▼	Bet365 1.02

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:15 +4’	17.00	9.50	1.05
14:17 +15’	41.00▲	12.00▲	1.05▼
20:06 +5’	51.00▲	19.00▲	1.02▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Diosgyori VTK (W) 3–0–3 Ujpest (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Hungary NBI Women	Ujpest (W)	7-1 HT 3-0	Diosgyori VTK (W)
25/04/26 Hungary NBI Women	Ujpest (W)	8-0 HT 3-0	Diosgyori VTK (W)
15/10/25 Hungary NBI Women	Diosgyori VTK (W)	1-4 HT 1-1	Ujpest (W)
22/04/23 Hungary NBI Women	Ujpest (W)	0-5	Diosgyori VTK (W)
01/10/22 Hungary NBI Women	Diosgyori VTK (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Ujpest (W)
25/02/18 Hungary NBI Women	Ujpest (W)	0-12 HT 0-5	Diosgyori VTK (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas FC (W)	13	9	2	2	63	14	29
2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	12	9	2	1	30	8	29
3	Gyor Eto FC (W)	12	9	1	2	46	7	28
4	Ujpest (W)	13	9	1	3	25	8	28
5	MTK Hungaria (W)	13	8	3	2	29	6	27
6	Kispest Honved (W)	13	8	2	3	33	8	26
7	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	13	5	1	7	16	22	16
8	Pecsi MFC (W)	13	4	3	6	14	24	15
9	Fehervar FC (W)	13	3	0	10	13	69	9
10	Astra HFC (W)	13	2	2	9	9	20	8
11	Diosgyori VTK (W)	13	1	1	11	15	63	4
12	Szekszardi (W)	13	1	0	12	3	47	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Diosgyori VTK (W)	Ujpest (W)
Gyor Eto FC (W)	1-11 L	1-0 W
Pecsi MFC (W)	0-0 D	3-0 W
Szekszardi (W)	4-1 W	4-0 W
MTK Hungaria (W)	1-4 L	0-1 L
Szent Mihaly SE (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Fehervar FC (W)	2-5 L	3-1 W
Kispest Honved (W)	0-5 L	2-1 W
Puskas FC (W)	2-10 L	1-1 D
Astra HFC (W)	2-3 L	1-0 W
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	0-7 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 8 L	7 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ujpest (W) (10 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diosgyori VTK (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-3	1-11	2	3	L
24/10	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
17/10	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	4-1	–	–	W
26/09	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-4	1-4	0	2	L
19/09	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-1	–	–	L
16/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	2-5	11	4	L
13/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-5	–	–	L
05/09	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	2-10	–	–	L
30/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-2	2-3	4	5	L
26/08	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-4	0-7	0	0	L

Ujpest (W)

DWWWLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
25/10	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
17/10	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
25/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	3-0	8	0	W
19/09	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	4-0	6	4	W
16/09	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
12/09	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
06/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
30/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
26/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Ujpest (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ujpest (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Diosgyori VTK (W) 6%, draw 9%, Ujpest (W) 85%.

How many goals are expected in Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Ujpest (W)?

The model expects 4.76 goals (Diosgyori VTK (W) 1.38 · Ujpest (W) 3.38), with a 55% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Ujpest (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.