Football · Hungary NBI Women · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs Astra HFC (W)

Team pages: Ferencvarosi TC (W) · Astra HFC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

Ferencvarosi TC (W)2.85

Astra HFC (W)0.85

1X2

83% 11% 6%

Ferencvarosi TC (W) Draw Astra HFC (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Ferencvarosi TC (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWLDW

Astra HFC (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Ferencvarosi TC (W) 6–0 Astra HFC (W) (6 last)

Astra HFC (W)0-2Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Astra HFC (W)0-9Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)5-1Astra HFC (W)
Astra HFC (W)0-2Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Astra HFC (W)1-6Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)5-0Astra HFC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 1597 · Astra HFC (W) 1426

	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	Draw	Astra HFC (W)
Our model	78%	14%	8%
Market	88%	8%	4%

Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferencvarosi TC (W) (rating 1597 vs 1426).
H2H favours Ferencvarosi TC (W): 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	Astra HFC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.8	0.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6	1 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.02

X11.00

221.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.75)1.85

2 (+3.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.52.00

Under 4.51.80

Diff.: 1.55 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.02 → 1.02	Bet365 1.02
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	21.00 → 21.00	Bet365 21.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +17’	1.02	11.00	21.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 6–0–0 Astra HFC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Hungary NBI Women	Astra HFC (W)	0-2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
07/05/25 Hungary NBI Women	Astra HFC (W)	0-9 HT 0-6	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
31/08/24 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	5-1 HT 4-0	Astra HFC (W)
17/03/24 Hungary NBI Women	Astra HFC (W)	0-2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
14/05/23 Hungary NBI Women	Astra HFC (W)	1-6 HT 1-0	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
05/11/22 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	5-0 HT 3-0	Astra HFC (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas FC (W)	13	9	2	2	63	14	29
2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	12	9	2	1	30	8	29
3	Gyor Eto FC (W)	12	9	1	2	46	7	28
4	Ujpest (W)	13	9	1	3	25	8	28
5	MTK Hungaria (W)	13	8	3	2	29	6	27
6	Kispest Honved (W)	13	8	2	3	33	8	26
7	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	13	5	1	7	16	22	16
8	Pecsi MFC (W)	13	4	3	6	14	24	15
9	Fehervar FC (W)	13	3	0	10	13	69	9
10	Astra HFC (W)	13	2	2	9	9	20	8
11	Diosgyori VTK (W)	13	1	1	11	15	63	4
12	Szekszardi (W)	13	1	0	12	3	47	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	Astra HFC (W)
Ujpest (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Pecsi MFC (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Gyor Eto FC (W)	0-3 L	0-2 L
Szekszardi (W)	7-0 W	1-2 L
MTK Hungaria (W)	2-0 W	0-0 D
Szent Mihaly SE (W)	3-2 W	0-1 L
Fehervar FC (W)	3-0 W	2-1 W
Kispest Honved (W)	1-0 W	1-3 L
Puskas FC (W)	2-2 D	1-2 L
Diosgyori VTK (W)	7-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Ferencvarosi TC (W) (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferencvarosi TC (W)

WDWWWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
17/10	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-1	16	3	D
30/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-3	5	0	L
27/09	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	7-0	6	0	W
19/09	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
16/09	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	3-2	4	5	W
12/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
05/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	9	2	W
29/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	2-2	5	0	D
26/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-0	7-0	8	0	W

Astra HFC (W)

DWLLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
25/10	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
18/10	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	2-1	3	0	W
26/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
20/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-3	2	2	L
16/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
13/09	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-2	1	2	L
05/09	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-1	3-2	4	5	W
26/08	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	0	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs Astra HFC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferencvarosi TC (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Ferencvarosi TC (W) 83%, draw 11%, Astra HFC (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs Astra HFC (W)?

The model expects 3.71 goals (Ferencvarosi TC (W) 2.85 · Astra HFC (W) 0.85), with a 60% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs Astra HFC (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.