Football · Hungary NBI Women · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: Szent Mihaly SE (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)

Team pages: Szent Mihaly SE (W) · MTK Hungaria (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Szent Mihaly SE (W)0.65

MTK Hungaria (W)2.18

1X2

9% 19% 72%

Szent Mihaly SE (W) Draw MTK Hungaria (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Szent Mihaly SE (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLWLWW

MTK Hungaria (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWWLWLDW

Head-to-head

Szent Mihaly SE (W) 1–1–4 MTK Hungaria (W) (6 last)

MTK Hungaria (W)1-1Szent Mihaly SE (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)1-0Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)3-2MTK Hungaria (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)2-0Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)0-3MTK Hungaria (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)3-0Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szent Mihaly SE (W) 1508 · MTK Hungaria (W) 1533

	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	Draw	MTK Hungaria (W)
Our model	9%	19%	72%
Market	10%	18%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MTK Hungaria (W): 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	MTK Hungaria (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.8 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.5	2.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

19.50

X5.00

21.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.82

2 (-1.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:38 +12’	9.50	5.00	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Szent Mihaly SE (W) 1–1–4 MTK Hungaria (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/10/26 Hungary Cup Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
22/08/26 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
16/05/26 Hungary NBI Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	3-2 HT 2-1	MTK Hungaria (W)
15/11/25 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
19/04/25 Hungary NBI Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	MTK Hungaria (W)
19/10/24 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	3-0 HT 0-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas FC (W)	13	9	2	2	63	14	29
2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	12	9	2	1	30	8	29
3	Gyor Eto FC (W)	12	9	1	2	46	7	28
4	Ujpest (W)	13	9	1	3	25	8	28
5	MTK Hungaria (W)	13	8	3	2	29	6	27
6	Kispest Honved (W)	13	8	2	3	33	8	26
7	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	13	5	1	7	16	22	16
8	Pecsi MFC (W)	13	4	3	6	14	24	15
9	Fehervar FC (W)	13	3	0	10	13	69	9
10	Astra HFC (W)	13	2	2	9	9	20	8
11	Diosgyori VTK (W)	13	1	1	11	15	63	4
12	Szekszardi (W)	13	1	0	12	3	47	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	MTK Hungaria (W)
Astra HFC (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Fehervar FC (W)	5-0 W	9-0 W
Kispest Honved (W)	1-6 L	0-0 D
Diosgyori VTK (W)	1-0 W	4-1 W
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	2-3 L	0-2 L
Ujpest (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Gyor Eto FC (W)	0-4 L	1-0 W
Pecsi MFC (W)	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MTK Hungaria (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Szent Mihaly SE (W)

LWWLLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
25/10	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	5-0	8	0	W
18/10	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-3	1-6	0	4	L
19/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	1-0	–	–	W
16/09	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	2-3	3	5	L
12/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
05/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-4	–	–	L
30/08	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
26/08	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
22/08	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	1	7	L

MTK Hungaria (W)

WDDWWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	9-0	8	0	W
25/10	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
17/10	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	2-3	4	6	L
26/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-1	4-1	14	2	W
19/09	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
16/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
12/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
05/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	10	1	D
26/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
22/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	2	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szent Mihaly SE (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MTK Hungaria (W) win (72%). Probabilities: Szent Mihaly SE (W) 9%, draw 19%, MTK Hungaria (W) 72%.

How many goals are expected in Szent Mihaly SE (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Szent Mihaly SE (W) 0.65 · MTK Hungaria (W) 2.18), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Szent Mihaly SE (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.