Football · Hungary NBI Women · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: Szent Mihaly SE (W) vs Astra HFC (W)

Team pages: Szent Mihaly SE (W) · Astra HFC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Szent Mihaly SE (W)1.72

Astra HFC (W)1.05

1X2

53% 24% 23%

Szent Mihaly SE (W) Draw Astra HFC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Szent Mihaly SE (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLWWLLLWLW

Astra HFC (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Szent Mihaly SE (W) 4–1–1 Astra HFC (W) (6 last)

Astra HFC (W)0-0Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Astra HFC (W)0-3Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)2-1Astra HFC (W)
Astra HFC (W)0-2Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)0-3Astra HFC (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)4-1Astra HFC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szent Mihaly SE (W) 1500 · Astra HFC (W) 1434

	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	Draw	Astra HFC (W)
Our model	52%	26%	22%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Szent Mihaly SE (W) (rating 1500 vs 1434).
H2H favours Szent Mihaly SE (W): 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	Astra HFC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	0.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	38/25/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.9	0.9 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:17 +2’	1.67	4.00	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Szent Mihaly SE (W) 4–1–1 Astra HFC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Hungary NBI Women	Astra HFC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
27/04/25 Hungary NBI Women	Astra HFC (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
02/11/24 Hungary NBI Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Astra HFC (W)
25/11/23 Hungary NBI Women	Astra HFC (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
19/08/23 Hungary NBI Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	0-3	Astra HFC (W)
18/03/23 Hungary NBI Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	4-1 HT 3-1	Astra HFC (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ujpest (W)	12	9	1	2	25	7	28
2	MTK Hungaria (W)	13	8	3	2	29	6	27
3	Puskas FC (W)	12	8	2	2	58	14	26
4	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	11	8	2	1	29	8	26
5	Gyor Eto FC (W)	11	8	1	2	35	6	25
6	Kispest Honved (W)	12	7	2	3	31	8	23
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	12	4	3	5	14	19	15
8	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	12	4	1	7	15	22	13
9	Fehervar FC (W)	13	3	0	10	13	69	9
10	Astra HFC (W)	12	2	2	8	9	19	8
11	Diosgyori VTK (W)	12	1	1	10	14	52	4
12	Szekszardi (W)	12	1	0	11	3	45	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	Astra HFC (W)
Fehervar FC (W)	5-0 W	2-1 W
Kispest Honved (W)	1-6 L	1-3 L
Diosgyori VTK (W)	1-0 W	3-2 W
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	2-3 L	0-2 L
Ujpest (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Gyor Eto FC (W)	0-4 L	0-2 L
Pecsi MFC (W)	2-0 W	0-2 L
Szekszardi (W)	3-0 W	1-2 L
MTK Hungaria (W)	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Szent Mihaly SE (W) (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Szent Mihaly SE (W)

DLWWLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	5-0	8	0	W
18/10	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-3	1-6	0	4	L
19/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	1-0	–	–	W
16/09	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	2-3	3	5	L
12/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
05/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-4	–	–	L
30/08	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
26/08	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
22/08	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
16/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

Astra HFC (W)

LDWLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
18/10	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	2-1	3	0	W
26/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
20/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-3	2	2	L
16/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
13/09	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-2	1	2	L
05/09	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-1	3-2	4	5	W
26/08	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	0	1	D
23/08	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-2	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szent Mihaly SE (W) vs Astra HFC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Szent Mihaly SE (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Szent Mihaly SE (W) 53%, draw 24%, Astra HFC (W) 23%.

How many goals are expected in Szent Mihaly SE (W) vs Astra HFC (W)?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Szent Mihaly SE (W) 1.72 · Astra HFC (W) 1.05), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Szent Mihaly SE (W) vs Astra HFC (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.