Football · South Africa Premier · 25/08, 19:30

Prediction: Marumo Gallants vs TS Galaxy

Team pages: Marumo Gallants · TS Galaxy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.76Total

Marumo Gallants0.96

TS Galaxy0.81

1X2

37% 34% 29%

Marumo Gallants Draw TS Galaxy

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 54% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Marumo Gallants 0-8-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDDDDDLL

TS Galaxy 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDDWDDLD

Head-to-head

Marumo Gallants 1–4–1 TS Galaxy (6 last)

Marumo Gallants1-1TS Galaxy
TS Galaxy0-0Marumo Gallants
TS Galaxy2-0Marumo Gallants
TS Galaxy1-2Marumo Gallants
Marumo Gallants1-1TS Galaxy
Marumo Gallants0-0TS Galaxy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marumo Gallants 1465 · TS Galaxy 1476

	Marumo Gallants	Draw	TS Galaxy
Our model	36%	36%	28%
Market	38%	32%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 1.76 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marumo Gallants	TS Galaxy
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.6	2.3 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.35

X2.75

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.35▼	Pinn 2.52 ★
X	2.80 → 2.75▼	Pinn 2.79
2	2.63 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:52 +11’	2.63	2.80	2.63
12:02 +2’	2.35▼	2.75▼	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:03	2.52	2.79	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Marumo Gallants 1–4–1 TS Galaxy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 South Africa Premier	Marumo Gallants	1-1 HT 1-1	TS Galaxy
08/02/26 South Africa Cup	TS Galaxy	0-0 HT 0-0	Marumo Gallants
21/01/26 South Africa Premier	TS Galaxy	2-0 HT 0-0	Marumo Gallants
30/03/25 South Africa Premier	TS Galaxy	1-2 HT 0-1	Marumo Gallants
26/10/24 South Africa Premier	Marumo Gallants	1-1 HT 0-0	TS Galaxy
05/03/23 South Africa Premier	Marumo Gallants	0-0 HT 0-0	TS Galaxy

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Orlando Pirates	3	2	1	0	6	1	7
2	Kaizer Chiefs	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
3	Amazulu	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
4	Sekhukhune United FC	3	2	0	1	3	2	6
5	Milford FC	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
6	Stellenbosch FC	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
7	Mamelodi Sundowns	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
8	Polokwane City	3	1	1	1	5	6	4
9	Golden Arrows	3	0	3	0	0	0	3
10	TS Galaxy	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
11	Richards Bay FC	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
12	Durban City	3	0	2	1	1	2	2
13	Chippa United	3	0	2	1	1	4	2
14	Marumo Gallants	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
15	Kruger United	3	0	1	2	2	5	1
15	Siwelele FC	3	0	1	2	2	5	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marumo Gallants	TS Galaxy
Mamelodi Sundowns	0-2 L	2-3 L
Richards Bay FC	1-1 D	0-1 L
Siwelele FC	0-0 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marumo Gallants

DDDDDDDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
14/08	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
11/08	Kruger United South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	9	7	D
23/05	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
16/05	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	0	4	D
09/05	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
06/05	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
25/04	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
18/04	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
12/04	Orbit College South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	5	2	D

TS Galaxy

LLDDDWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
11/08	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	1-1	2-3	0	3	L
02/08	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-1	2-2	2	5	D
23/05	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
12/05	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	2-2	3-2	1	5	W
09/05	Chippa United South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
06/05	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
26/04	Magesi FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
19/04	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
12/04	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-1	0-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marumo Gallants vs TS Galaxy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Marumo Gallants win (37%). Probabilities: Marumo Gallants 37%, draw 34%, TS Galaxy 29%.

How many goals are expected in Marumo Gallants vs TS Galaxy?

The model expects 1.76 goals (Marumo Gallants 0.96 · TS Galaxy 0.81), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Marumo Gallants vs TS Galaxy?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.