Football · South Africa Premier · 26/08, 19:30
Prediction: Richards Bay FC vs Kaizer Chiefs
Team pages: Richards Bay FC · Kaizer Chiefs
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.76Total
Richards Bay FC0.71
Kaizer Chiefs1.05
1X2
Richards Bay FC
Draw
Kaizer Chiefs
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Richards Bay FC
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
Kaizer Chiefs
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Richards Bay FC
3–3
Kaizer Chiefs
(6 last)
- Richards Bay FC1-0Kaizer Chiefs
- Kaizer Chiefs1-0Richards Bay FC
- Richards Bay FC2-0Kaizer Chiefs
- Kaizer Chiefs2-1Richards Bay FC
- Richards Bay FC1-0Kaizer Chiefs
- Kaizer Chiefs1-0Richards Bay FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Richards Bay FC 1491 · Kaizer Chiefs 1518
| Richards Bay FC | Draw | Kaizer Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 35% | 42% |
| Market | 25% | 32% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.76 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Richards Bay FC | Kaizer Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Richards Bay FC 3–0–3 Kaizer Chiefs
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 South Africa Premier | Richards Bay FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kaizer Chiefs |
| 19/08/25 South Africa Premier | Kaizer Chiefs | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Richards Bay FC |
| 16/03/25 South Africa Premier | Richards Bay FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Kaizer Chiefs |
| 27/11/24 South Africa Premier | Kaizer Chiefs | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Richards Bay FC |
| 21/04/24 South Africa Premier | Richards Bay FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kaizer Chiefs |
| 23/12/23 South Africa Premier | Kaizer Chiefs | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Richards Bay FC |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Kaizer Chiefs | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Amazulu | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Sekhukhune United FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Milford FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Stellenbosch FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Polokwane City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Golden Arrows | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | TS Galaxy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 11 | Richards Bay FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Durban City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Chippa United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Marumo Gallants | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Kruger United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 15 | Siwelele FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Richards Bay FC | Kaizer Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Chippa United | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Polokwane City | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Sekhukhune United FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Orlando Pirates | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Kaizer Chiefs (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Richards Bay FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 06/05 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 19/04 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
Kaizer Chiefs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 12/08 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Kruger United South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 29/04 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 0-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Richards Bay FC vs Kaizer Chiefs?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kaizer Chiefs win (43%). Probabilities: Richards Bay FC 24%, draw 33%, Kaizer Chiefs 43%.
How many goals are expected in Richards Bay FC vs Kaizer Chiefs?
The model expects 1.76 goals (Richards Bay FC 0.71 · Kaizer Chiefs 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Richards Bay FC vs Kaizer Chiefs?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.