Football · South Africa Premier · 04/09, 19:30

Prediction: Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City

Team pages: Marumo Gallants · Polokwane City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.83Total

Marumo Gallants1.02

Polokwane City0.82

1X2

38% 34% 28%

Marumo Gallants Draw Polokwane City

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Marumo Gallants 0-7-3 (W-D-L)

DDDDDDDLLL

Polokwane City 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDDDWDLD

Head-to-head

Marumo Gallants 1–3–1 Polokwane City (5 last)

Polokwane City1-1Marumo Gallants
Marumo Gallants1-1Polokwane City
Marumo Gallants0-0Polokwane City
Polokwane City1-0Marumo Gallants
Polokwane City2-3Marumo Gallants

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marumo Gallants 1456 · Polokwane City 1476

	Marumo Gallants	Draw	Polokwane City
Our model	38%	35%	27%
Market	39%	33%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 1.83 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marumo Gallants	Polokwane City
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	0.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.4	1.1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.70

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.90

Under 1.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:00 +14’	2.30	2.70	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Marumo Gallants 1–3–1 Polokwane City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 South Africa Premier	Polokwane City	1-1 HT 1-0	Marumo Gallants
31/08/25 South Africa Premier	Marumo Gallants	1-1 HT 0-0	Polokwane City
23/02/25 South Africa Premier	Marumo Gallants	0-0 HT 0-0	Polokwane City
15/12/24 South Africa Premier	Polokwane City	1-0 HT 1-0	Marumo Gallants
19/10/24 South Africa League Cup	Polokwane City	2-3 HT 2-3	Marumo Gallants

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Orlando Pirates	4	3	1	0	8	1	10
2	Mamelodi Sundowns	4	3	1	0	11	5	10
3	Kaizer Chiefs	4	2	2	0	8	4	8
4	Amazulu	4	2	1	1	6	6	7
5	Milford FC	4	2	1	1	3	3	7
6	Golden Arrows	4	1	3	0	1	0	6
7	Sekhukhune United FC	4	2	0	2	3	4	6
8	Durban City	4	1	2	1	3	2	5
9	TS Galaxy	4	1	2	1	7	7	5
10	Polokwane City	4	1	2	1	5	6	5
11	Stellenbosch FC	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
12	Richards Bay FC	4	0	3	1	5	6	3
13	Chippa United	4	0	3	1	2	5	3
14	Siwelele FC	4	0	2	2	3	6	2
15	Marumo Gallants	4	0	1	3	3	8	1
16	Kruger United	4	0	1	3	2	7	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marumo Gallants	Polokwane City
Mamelodi Sundowns	0-2 L	0-3 L
Stellenbosch FC	1-3 L	3-3 D
Richards Bay FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Sekhukhune United FC	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marumo Gallants

DDDDDDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
19/08	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
14/08	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
11/08	Kruger United South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	9	7	D
23/05	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
16/05	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	0	4	D
09/05	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
06/05	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
25/04	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
18/04	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	1	6	D

Polokwane City

WLLDDDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Milford FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
15/08	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-2	0-2	1	5	L
11/08	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	1-1	3-3	5	1	D
02/08	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	1-0	2-1	1	0	W
16/05	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
09/05	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
06/05	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
03/05	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
29/04	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
26/04	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Marumo Gallants win (38%). Probabilities: Marumo Gallants 38%, draw 34%, Polokwane City 28%.

How many goals are expected in Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City?

The model expects 1.83 goals (Marumo Gallants 1.02 · Polokwane City 0.82), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.