Football · South Africa Premier · 04/09, 19:30

Prediction: Richards Bay FC vs Amazulu

Team pages: Richards Bay FC · Amazulu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.01Total

Richards Bay FC1.02

Amazulu0.99

1X2

34% 33% 33%

Richards Bay FC Draw Amazulu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Richards Bay FC 1-7-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDDLLDDD

Amazulu 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDLWWDWL

Head-to-head

Richards Bay FC 2–4 Amazulu (6 last)

Amazulu2-1Richards Bay FC
Richards Bay FC0-1Amazulu
Richards Bay FC2-0Amazulu
Amazulu1-0Richards Bay FC
Richards Bay FC1-3Amazulu
Richards Bay FC2-1Amazulu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Richards Bay FC 1475 · Amazulu 1532

	Richards Bay FC	Draw	Amazulu
Our model	34%	33%	33%
Market	34%	33%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amazulu (rating 1475 vs 1532).
H2H favours Amazulu: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Richards Bay FC	Amazulu
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	2.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X2.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:07 +7’	2.60	2.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Richards Bay FC 2–0–4 Amazulu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 South Africa Premier	Amazulu	2-1 HT 1-1	Richards Bay FC
20/02/26 South Africa Cup	Richards Bay FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Amazulu
28/11/25 South Africa Premier	Richards Bay FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Amazulu
04/04/25 South Africa Premier	Amazulu	1-0 HT 0-0	Richards Bay FC
30/11/24 South Africa Premier	Richards Bay FC	1-3 HT 0-1	Amazulu
30/04/24 South Africa Premier	Richards Bay FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Amazulu

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Orlando Pirates	4	3	1	0	8	1	10
2	Mamelodi Sundowns	4	3	1	0	11	5	10
3	Kaizer Chiefs	4	2	2	0	8	4	8
4	Amazulu	4	2	1	1	6	6	7
5	Milford FC	4	2	1	1	3	3	7
6	Golden Arrows	4	1	3	0	1	0	6
7	Sekhukhune United FC	4	2	0	2	3	4	6
8	Durban City	4	1	2	1	3	2	5
9	TS Galaxy	4	1	2	1	7	7	5
10	Polokwane City	4	1	2	1	5	6	5
11	Stellenbosch FC	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
12	Richards Bay FC	4	0	3	1	5	6	3
13	Chippa United	4	0	3	1	2	5	3
14	Siwelele FC	4	0	2	2	3	6	2
15	Marumo Gallants	4	0	1	3	3	8	1
16	Kruger United	4	0	1	3	2	7	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Richards Bay FC	Amazulu
Kaizer Chiefs	2-2 D	0-1 L
Durban City	1-1 D	1-0 W
Chippa United	1-1 D	5-1 W
Mamelodi Sundowns	0-0 D	2-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Richards Bay FC

WDDDDLLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
15/08	Durban City South Africa Premier	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Chippa United South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
02/08	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-1	1-2	12	0	L
23/05	Magesi FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
16/05	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
09/05	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
06/05	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
26/04	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
19/04	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	1-0	1-0	8	2	W

Amazulu

LWDDLWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	0-2	2-5	5	4	L
15/08	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/08	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
01/08	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
23/05	Durban City South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
16/05	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
09/05	Orbit College South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
06/05	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
25/04	Chippa United South Africa Premier	2-1	5-1	8	4	W
18/04	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	0-2	0-3	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Richards Bay FC vs Amazulu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Richards Bay FC win (34%). Probabilities: Richards Bay FC 34%, draw 33%, Amazulu 33%.

How many goals are expected in Richards Bay FC vs Amazulu?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Richards Bay FC 1.02 · Amazulu 0.99), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Richards Bay FC vs Amazulu?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.