Football · South Africa Premier · 26/08, 19:30

Prediction: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu

Team pages: Mamelodi Sundowns · Amazulu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Mamelodi Sundowns1.94

Amazulu0.58

1X2

69% 21% 10%

Mamelodi Sundowns Draw Amazulu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Mamelodi Sundowns 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWDWLWDW

Amazulu 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDDLWWDW

Head-to-head

Mamelodi Sundowns 6–0 Amazulu (6 last)

Amazulu0-1Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns2-0Amazulu
Mamelodi Sundowns2-0Amazulu
Amazulu0-1Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns3-0Amazulu
Amazulu0-1Mamelodi Sundowns

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mamelodi Sundowns 1542 · Amazulu 1531

	Mamelodi Sundowns	Draw	Amazulu
Our model	69%	22%	9%
Market	69%	21%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mamelodi Sundowns: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mamelodi Sundowns	Amazulu
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	2.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.28

X4.33

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:59 +5’	1.28	4.33	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mamelodi Sundowns 6–0–0 Amazulu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/02/26 South Africa Premier	Amazulu	0-1 HT 0-0	Mamelodi Sundowns
12/08/25 South Africa Premier	Mamelodi Sundowns	2-0 HT 0-0	Amazulu
11/03/25 South Africa Premier	Mamelodi Sundowns	2-0 HT 0-0	Amazulu
24/12/24 South Africa Premier	Amazulu	0-1 HT 0-0	Mamelodi Sundowns
27/02/24 South Africa Premier	Mamelodi Sundowns	3-0 HT 0-0	Amazulu
06/12/23 South Africa Premier	Amazulu	0-1 HT 0-1	Mamelodi Sundowns

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Orlando Pirates	3	2	1	0	6	1	7
2	Kaizer Chiefs	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
3	Amazulu	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
4	Sekhukhune United FC	3	2	0	1	3	2	6
5	Milford FC	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
6	Stellenbosch FC	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
7	Mamelodi Sundowns	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
8	Polokwane City	3	1	1	1	5	6	4
9	Golden Arrows	3	0	3	0	0	0	3
10	TS Galaxy	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
11	Richards Bay FC	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
12	Durban City	3	0	2	1	1	2	2
13	Chippa United	3	0	2	1	1	4	2
14	Marumo Gallants	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
15	Kruger United	3	0	1	2	2	5	1
15	Siwelele FC	3	0	1	2	2	5	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mamelodi Sundowns	Amazulu
Kaizer Chiefs	1-1 D	0-1 L
Siwelele FC	7-4 W	2-0 W
Stellenbosch FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mamelodi Sundowns (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mamelodi Sundowns

DDWWDWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
15/08	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
11/08	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
12/05	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	2-2	2-3	8	5	L
09/05	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	5-1	7-4	4	2	W
06/05	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
03/05	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
29/04	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
26/04	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	5	0	D
22/04	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	4	2	D

Amazulu

DLWDDLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/08	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
01/08	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
23/05	Durban City South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
16/05	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
09/05	Orbit College South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
06/05	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
25/04	Chippa United South Africa Premier	2-1	5-1	8	4	W
18/04	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
11/04	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mamelodi Sundowns win (69%). Probabilities: Mamelodi Sundowns 69%, draw 21%, Amazulu 10%.

How many goals are expected in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Mamelodi Sundowns 1.94 · Amazulu 0.58), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.