Football · South Africa Premier · 26/08, 19:30
Prediction: Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch FC
Team pages: Golden Arrows · Stellenbosch FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Golden Arrows0.95
Stellenbosch FC0.95
1X2
Golden Arrows
Draw
Stellenbosch FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Golden Arrows
3-7-0 (W-D-L)
Stellenbosch FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Golden Arrows
2–1–3
Stellenbosch FC
(6 last)
- Golden Arrows1-1Stellenbosch FC
- Golden Arrows1-0Stellenbosch FC
- Stellenbosch FC4-3Golden Arrows
- Golden Arrows0-3Stellenbosch FC
- Stellenbosch FC0-2Golden Arrows
- Stellenbosch FC3-0Golden Arrows
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Golden Arrows 1549 · Stellenbosch FC 1500
| Golden Arrows | Draw | Stellenbosch FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 35% | 33% |
| Market | 34% | 32% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Golden Arrows (rating 1549 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Stellenbosch FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Golden Arrows | Stellenbosch FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.3 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Golden Arrows 2–1–3 Stellenbosch FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 South Africa Premier | Golden Arrows | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Stellenbosch FC |
| 21/02/26 South Africa Cup | Golden Arrows | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stellenbosch FC |
| 22/10/25 South Africa Premier | Stellenbosch FC | 4-3 HT 1-1 | Golden Arrows |
| 03/05/25 South Africa Premier | Golden Arrows | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Stellenbosch FC |
| 18/09/24 South Africa Premier | Stellenbosch FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Golden Arrows |
| 01/05/24 South Africa Premier | Stellenbosch FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Golden Arrows |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Kaizer Chiefs | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Amazulu | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Sekhukhune United FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Milford FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Stellenbosch FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Polokwane City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Golden Arrows | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | TS Galaxy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 11 | Richards Bay FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Durban City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Chippa United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Marumo Gallants | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Kruger United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 15 | Siwelele FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Golden Arrows | Stellenbosch FC |
|---|---|---|
| Durban City | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Polokwane City | 0-0 D | 3-3 D |
| Amazulu | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Orbit College | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Golden Arrows
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 12/08 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 24/04 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Orbit College South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Stellenbosch FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/08 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Orbit College South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/04 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Golden Arrows win (33%). Probabilities: Golden Arrows 33%, draw 33%, Stellenbosch FC 33%.
How many goals are expected in Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch FC?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Golden Arrows 0.95 · Stellenbosch FC 0.95), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.