Football · South Africa Premier · 25/08, 19:30
Prediction: Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United FC
Team pages: Orlando Pirates · Sekhukhune United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Orlando Pirates1.73
Sekhukhune United FC0.5
1X2
Orlando Pirates
Draw
Sekhukhune United FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Orlando Pirates
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Sekhukhune United FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orlando Pirates
2–1–3
Sekhukhune United FC
(6 last)
- Sekhukhune United FC0-1Orlando Pirates
- Sekhukhune United FC0-0Orlando Pirates
- Orlando Pirates0-1Sekhukhune United FC
- Orlando Pirates0-1Sekhukhune United FC
- Sekhukhune United FC1-2Orlando Pirates
- Sekhukhune United FC2-1Orlando Pirates
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orlando Pirates 1590 · Sekhukhune United FC 1518
| Orlando Pirates | Draw | Sekhukhune United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 24% | 9% |
| Market | 68% | 22% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orlando Pirates (rating 1590 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Sekhukhune United FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orlando Pirates | Sekhukhune United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 8.6 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orlando Pirates 2–1–3 Sekhukhune United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 South Africa Supa 8 Cup | Sekhukhune United FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Orlando Pirates |
| 24/01/26 South Africa Premier | Sekhukhune United FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Orlando Pirates |
| 09/08/25 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sekhukhune United FC |
| 30/04/25 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sekhukhune United FC |
| 05/02/25 South Africa Premier | Sekhukhune United FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Orlando Pirates |
| 30/03/24 South Africa Premier | Sekhukhune United FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Orlando Pirates |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Kaizer Chiefs | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Amazulu | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Sekhukhune United FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Milford FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Stellenbosch FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Polokwane City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Golden Arrows | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | TS Galaxy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 11 | Richards Bay FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Durban City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Chippa United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Marumo Gallants | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Kruger United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 15 | Siwelele FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orlando Pirates | Sekhukhune United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Chippa United | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Durban City | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Magesi FC | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Stellenbosch FC | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Richards Bay FC | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Orlando Pirates (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orlando Pirates
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 12/08 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Milford FC South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Orbit College South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/05 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 10/04 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 2-2 | 16 | 3 | D |
Sekhukhune United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/08 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 16/05 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Orlando Pirates win (67%). Probabilities: Orlando Pirates 67%, draw 23%, Sekhukhune United FC 10%.
How many goals are expected in Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United FC?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Orlando Pirates 1.73 · Sekhukhune United FC 0.5), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.