Football · Poland III Liga · 19/08, 14:30

Prediction: Rakow Czestochowa II vs KS Stilon Gorzow

Team pages: Rakow Czestochowa II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Rakow Czestochowa II1.72

KS Stilon Gorzow1.27

1X2

47% 25% 27%

Rakow Czestochowa II Draw KS Stilon Gorzow

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Rakow Czestochowa II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWDLLD

KS Stilon Gorzow 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDDWLD

Head-to-head

Rakow Czestochowa II 2–2–1 KS Stilon Gorzow (5 last)

Rakow Czestochowa II0-0KS Stilon Gorzow
Rakow Czestochowa II1-3KS Stilon Gorzow
KS Stilon Gorzow0-5Rakow Czestochowa II
KS Stilon Gorzow0-0Rakow Czestochowa II
Rakow Czestochowa II4-0KS Stilon Gorzow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rakow Czestochowa II 1518 · KS Stilon Gorzow 1525

	Rakow Czestochowa II	Draw	KS Stilon Gorzow
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rakow Czestochowa II: 2-2-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rakow Czestochowa II	KS Stilon Gorzow
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.5	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.1	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.60

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:20 +5’	1.90	3.60	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rakow Czestochowa II 2–2–1 KS Stilon Gorzow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Poland IV Liga	Rakow Czestochowa II	0-0 HT 0-0	KS Stilon Gorzow
26/11/23 Poland III Liga	Rakow Czestochowa II	1-3 HT 0-2	KS Stilon Gorzow
05/08/23 Poland III Liga	KS Stilon Gorzow	0-5 HT 0-1	Rakow Czestochowa II
25/03/23 Poland III Liga	KS Stilon Gorzow	0-0 HT 0-0	Rakow Czestochowa II
20/08/22 Poland III Liga	Rakow Czestochowa II	4-0 HT 0-0	KS Stilon Gorzow

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	3	3	0	0	6	0	9
2	Wislanie Jaskowice	3	3	0	0	6	1	9
3	Wisloka Debica	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
4	KSZO Ostrowiec	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
5	Wisla Krakow II	3	2	0	1	7	5	6
6	Czarni Polaniec	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
7	Naprzod Jedrzejow	3	2	0	1	7	7	6
8	Hetman Zamosc	3	1	2	0	5	2	5
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3	1	1	1	5	3	4
10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
11	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	3	1	1	1	5	6	4
12	Wieczysta Krakow II	3	1	0	2	4	7	3
13	Moravia Morawica	3	1	0	2	2	5	3
14	JKS Jaroslaw	3	0	1	2	4	7	1
15	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
16	Star Starachowice	3	0	1	2	2	7	1
17	Korona Kielce II	3	0	0	3	7	10	0
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	3	0	0	3	1	5	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Rakow Czestochowa II

WWLLWWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	4	7	D
08/08	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
31/07	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	1-2	4-5	5	2	L
17/06	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland IV Liga	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
13/06	Ruch Zdzieszowice Poland IV Liga	0-1	2-1	0	6	W
06/06	Ruch Radzionkow Poland IV Liga	3-0	4-0	9	2	W
16/05	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland IV Liga	0-2	2-3	4	6	L
06/05	LKS Belk Poland IV Liga	0-0	1-3	8	5	L
01/05	Rozwoj Katowice Poland IV Liga	3-0	7-0	9	0	W
12/04	Szombierki Bytom Poland IV Liga	2-0	3-0	5	5	W

KS Stilon Gorzow

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
08/08	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	2	8	L
01/08	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
17/06	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland IV Liga	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
13/06	Piast Zmigrod Poland IV Liga	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
06/06	Pogon Skwierzyna Poland IV Liga	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
29/05	Lechia Zielona Góra II Poland IV Liga	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
25/04	Dozamet Nowa Sol Poland IV Liga	1-0	5-1	6	2	W
21/02	Blekitni Stargard Europe Friendlies	1-2	1-2	7	1	L
24/01	Gornik Polkowice Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rakow Czestochowa II vs KS Stilon Gorzow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rakow Czestochowa II win (47%). Probabilities: Rakow Czestochowa II 47%, draw 25%, KS Stilon Gorzow 27%.

How many goals are expected in Rakow Czestochowa II vs KS Stilon Gorzow?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Rakow Czestochowa II 1.72 · KS Stilon Gorzow 1.27), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rakow Czestochowa II vs KS Stilon Gorzow?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.