Football · Poland III Liga · 28/08, 17:00

Prediction: KTS-K Luzino vs Lipno Steszew

Team pages: KTS-K Luzino · Lipno Steszew

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.7Total
KTS-K Luzino2.7
Lipno Steszew0.99
1X2
73% 16% 11%
KTS-K Luzino Draw Lipno Steszew
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
KTS-K Luzino 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWDWWL
Lipno Steszew 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWWDLLLL
Head-to-head
KTS-K Luzino 1–1 Lipno Steszew (2 last)
  • Lipno Steszew0-5KTS-K Luzino
  • KTS-K Luzino1-2Lipno Steszew
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KTS-K Luzino 1511 · Lipno Steszew 1451
KTS-K LuzinoDrawLipno Steszew
Our model73%17%11%
Market73%16%11%
Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KTS-K Luzino (rating 1511 vs 1451).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KTS-K LuzinoLipno Steszew
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.31.5 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.40.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 41.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · KTS-K Luzino 101 Lipno Steszew

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Poland III Liga
Lipno Steszew0-5
HT 0-2
KTS-K Luzino
31/10/25
Poland III Liga
KTS-K Luzino1-2
HT 0-1
Lipno Steszew

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 5500 10115
2 Wislanie Jaskowice 5410 9313
3 KSZO Ostrowiec 5320 7411
4 Wisla Krakow II 5311 9610
5 Czarni Polaniec 5302 889
6 JKS Jaroslaw 5212 987
7 Wieczysta Krakow II 5212 887
8 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 5212 557
9 Wisloka Debica 5212 787
10 Hetman Zamosc 5131 756
11 Moravia Morawica 5203 686
12 Naprzod Jedrzejow 5203 9136
13 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 5122 675
14 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 5122 795
15 Star Starachowice 5122 585
16 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 5113 684
17 Korona Kielce II 5014 12161
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 5014 271

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKTS-K LuzinoLipno Steszew
Victoria Wrzesnia 3-1 W 3-1 W
Kluczevia Stargard 3-2 W 1-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KTS-K Luzino (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KTS-K Luzino

WWLWLWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Blekitni Stargard
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-2 L
19/08 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Poland III Liga
1-0 3-1 W
14/08 Victoria Wrzesnia
Poland III Liga
1-1 3-1 35 W
09/08 Baltyk Koszalin
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-1 44 D
01/08 KSS Kotwica Kornik
Poland III Liga
2-1 6-2 51 W
03/06 KSZO Ostrowiec
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-2 13 L
30/05 Kluczevia Stargard
Poland III Liga
2-1 3-2 W
23/05 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-2 65 L
17/05 Lipno Steszew
Poland III Liga
2-0 5-0 52 W
13/05 Cartusia Kartuzy
Poland III Liga
2-0 3-0 W

Lipno Steszew

LWLWWDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Poland III Liga
0-1 2-3 L
19/08 Lech Poznan II
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-1 55 L
15/08 Kluczevia Stargard
Poland III Liga
0-2 1-4 21 L
08/08 Wda Swiecie
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-2 53 L
01/08 Elana Torun
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-1 143 D
30/05 Unia Swarzedz
Poland III Liga
1-1 4-3 53 W
23/05 Victoria Wrzesnia
Poland III Liga
1-1 3-1 23 W
17/05 KTS-K Luzino
Poland III Liga
0-2 0-5 32 L
13/05 Kluczevia Stargard
Poland III Liga
1-0 3-0 14 W
09/05 Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KTS-K Luzino vs Lipno Steszew?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KTS-K Luzino win (73%). Probabilities: KTS-K Luzino 73%, draw 16%, Lipno Steszew 11%.

How many goals are expected in KTS-K Luzino vs Lipno Steszew?

The model expects 3.7 goals (KTS-K Luzino 2.7 · Lipno Steszew 0.99), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in KTS-K Luzino vs Lipno Steszew?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.