Football · Poland III Liga · 28/08, 17:00

Prediction: Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzedz

Team pages: Kluczevia Stargard · Unia Swarzedz

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Kluczevia Stargard2.06
Unia Swarzedz1.55
1X2
48% 24% 28%
Kluczevia Stargard Draw Unia Swarzedz
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Kluczevia Stargard 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLLLLDWWDW
Unia Swarzedz 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWLLWL
Head-to-head
Kluczevia Stargard 1–1–0 Unia Swarzedz (2 last)
  • Unia Swarzedz0-2Kluczevia Stargard
  • Kluczevia Stargard2-2Unia Swarzedz
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kluczevia Stargard 1510 · Unia Swarzedz 1520
Kluczevia StargardDrawUnia Swarzedz
Our model49%23%28%
Market48%24%28%
Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Kluczevia StargardUnia Swarzedz
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 2.21.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.80.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 52.6 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.13.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kluczevia Stargard 110 Unia Swarzedz

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/11/25
Poland III Liga
Unia Swarzedz0-2
HT 0-0
Kluczevia Stargard
02/08/25
Poland III Liga
Kluczevia Stargard2-2
HT 1-0
Unia Swarzedz

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 5500 10115
2 Wislanie Jaskowice 5410 9313
3 KSZO Ostrowiec 5320 7411
4 Wisla Krakow II 5311 9610
5 Czarni Polaniec 5302 889
6 JKS Jaroslaw 5212 987
7 Wieczysta Krakow II 5212 887
8 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 5212 557
9 Wisloka Debica 5212 787
10 Hetman Zamosc 5131 756
11 Moravia Morawica 5203 686
12 Naprzod Jedrzejow 5203 9136
13 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 5122 675
14 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 5122 795
15 Star Starachowice 5122 585
16 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 5113 684
17 Korona Kielce II 5014 12161
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 5014 271

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKluczevia StargardUnia Swarzedz
Grom Nowy Staw 4-3 W 3-2 W
Lipno Steszew 4-1 W 3-4 L
Victoria Wrzesnia 1-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kluczevia Stargard

LLLLLDWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Grom Nowy Staw
Poland III Liga
2-1 4-3 W
19/08 Gedania Gdansk
Poland III Liga
0-2 2-2 37 D
15/08 Lipno Steszew
Poland III Liga
2-0 4-1 91 W
08/08 Blekitni Stargard
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-1 46 W
01/08 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Poland III Liga
0-1 3-3 35 D
30/05 KTS-K Luzino
Poland III Liga
1-2 2-3 L
23/05 Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-2 310 L
16/05 Victoria Wrzesnia
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-2 41 L
13/05 Lipno Steszew
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-3 84 L
09/05 Pogon Szczecin II
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-2 68 L

Unia Swarzedz

WWWWLWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Wda Swiecie
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-1 L
19/08 Elana Torun
Poland III Liga
1-2 3-2 56 W
14/08 Notec Czarnkow
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-3 83 L
09/08 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-1 135 L
01/08 Grom Nowy Staw
Poland III Liga
1-0 3-2 63 W
30/05 Lipno Steszew
Poland III Liga
1-1 3-4 73 L
23/05 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
Poland III Liga
3-0 3-1 44 W
17/05 Elana Torun
Poland III Liga
1-0 4-0 80 W
13/05 Victoria Wrzesnia
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-1 114 W
08/05 Notec Czarnkow
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzedz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kluczevia Stargard win (48%). Probabilities: Kluczevia Stargard 48%, draw 24%, Unia Swarzedz 28%.

How many goals are expected in Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzedz?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Kluczevia Stargard 2.06 · Unia Swarzedz 1.55), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kluczevia Stargard vs Unia Swarzedz?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.