Football · Poland III Liga · 28/08, 19:00

Prediction: Wislanie Jaskowice vs Czarni Polaniec

Team pages: Wislanie Jaskowice · Czarni Polaniec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Wislanie Jaskowice1.59

Czarni Polaniec1.21

1X2

46% 25% 29%

Wislanie Jaskowice Draw Czarni Polaniec

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wislanie Jaskowice 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWWWDW

Czarni Polaniec 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Wislanie Jaskowice 0–1–5 Czarni Polaniec (6 last)

Czarni Polaniec1-0Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice0-2Czarni Polaniec
Wislanie Jaskowice1-2Czarni Polaniec
Czarni Polaniec0-0Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice1-2Czarni Polaniec
Czarni Polaniec2-1Wislanie Jaskowice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wislanie Jaskowice 1525 · Czarni Polaniec 1503

	Wislanie Jaskowice	Draw	Czarni Polaniec
Our model	45%	27%	28%
Market	47%	24%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Czarni Polaniec: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wislanie Jaskowice	Czarni Polaniec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.6	2.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.75

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:10 +10’	1.91	3.75	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wislanie Jaskowice 0–1–5 Czarni Polaniec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Poland III Liga	Czarni Polaniec	1-0 HT 0-0	Wislanie Jaskowice
18/10/25 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	0-2 HT 0-2	Czarni Polaniec
19/04/25 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	1-2 HT 1-2	Czarni Polaniec
21/09/24 Poland III Liga	Czarni Polaniec	0-0 HT 0-0	Wislanie Jaskowice
30/03/24 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	1-2 HT 1-1	Czarni Polaniec
02/09/23 Poland III Liga	Czarni Polaniec	2-1 HT 0-0	Wislanie Jaskowice

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	5	5	0	0	10	1	15
2	Wislanie Jaskowice	5	4	1	0	9	3	13
3	KSZO Ostrowiec	5	3	2	0	7	4	11
4	Wisla Krakow II	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
5	Czarni Polaniec	5	3	0	2	8	8	9
6	JKS Jaroslaw	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
7	Wieczysta Krakow II	5	2	1	2	8	8	7
8	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	5	2	1	2	5	5	7
9	Wisloka Debica	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
10	Hetman Zamosc	5	1	3	1	7	5	6
11	Moravia Morawica	5	2	0	3	6	8	6
12	Naprzod Jedrzejow	5	2	0	3	9	13	6
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
14	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
15	Star Starachowice	5	1	2	2	5	8	5
16	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	5	1	1	3	6	8	4
17	Korona Kielce II	5	0	1	4	12	16	1
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	5	0	1	4	2	7	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wislanie Jaskowice	Czarni Polaniec
Korona Kielce II	1-4 L	4-3 W
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Czarni Polaniec (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wislanie Jaskowice

LWDLLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	10	7	D
15/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	3	9	W
08/08	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
30/05	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	1-2	1-4	12	7	L
22/05	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
16/05	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	0	1	D
13/05	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/05	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L

Czarni Polaniec

WLWLLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	1-0	4-3	4	5	W
19/08	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	8	6	L
15/08	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
02/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
30/05	Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
22/05	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
16/05	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
13/05	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
09/05	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wislanie Jaskowice vs Czarni Polaniec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wislanie Jaskowice win (46%). Probabilities: Wislanie Jaskowice 46%, draw 25%, Czarni Polaniec 29%.

How many goals are expected in Wislanie Jaskowice vs Czarni Polaniec?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Wislanie Jaskowice 1.59 · Czarni Polaniec 1.21), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wislanie Jaskowice vs Czarni Polaniec?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.