Football · Poland III Liga · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Rakow Czestochowa II

Team pages: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora · Rakow Czestochowa II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora1.64

Rakow Czestochowa II1.18

1X2

48% 25% 27%

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Draw Rakow Czestochowa II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Rakow Czestochowa II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDWDWLLW

Head-to-head

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 0–1–1 Rakow Czestochowa II (2 last)

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora1-2Rakow Czestochowa II
Rakow Czestochowa II0-0Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 1504 · Rakow Czestochowa II 1508

	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa II
Our model	47%	27%	26%
Market	48%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	Rakow Czestochowa II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.4	2.6 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	5.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.70

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:20 +10’	1.85	3.70	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 0–1–1 Rakow Czestochowa II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/03/24 Poland III Liga	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	1-2 HT 1-1	Rakow Czestochowa II
13/08/23 Poland III Liga	Rakow Czestochowa II	0-0 HT 0-0	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	13	9	4	0	20	6	31
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	13	7	5	1	24	10	26
3	Wisloka Debica	13	8	2	3	20	13	26
4	Naprzod Jedrzejow	13	7	2	4	28	25	23
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	13	6	3	4	20	13	21
6	Czarni Polaniec	13	6	3	4	18	17	21
7	Hetman Zamosc	13	5	5	3	25	22	20
8	JKS Jaroslaw	13	5	2	6	29	25	17
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	13	5	2	6	19	19	17
10	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	13	3	7	3	13	13	16
11	Wisla Krakow II	13	4	4	5	15	18	16
12	Wieczysta Krakow II	13	4	3	6	12	15	15
13	Star Starachowice	13	3	5	5	18	20	14
14	Korona Kielce II	13	4	2	7	28	31	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	13	4	2	7	19	30	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	13	3	4	6	11	18	13
17	Moravia Morawica	13	2	3	8	13	23	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	13	2	2	9	12	26	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	Rakow Czestochowa II
Polonia Nysa	2-2 D	2-0 W
Sparta Katowice	1-0 W	1-1 D
Sleza Wroclaw	0-2 L	2-1 W
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	2-0 W	0-0 D
Stal Brzeg	0-1 L	0-3 L
KS Stilon Gorzow	4-2 W	1-4 L
Zaglebie Lubin II	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	0-0	2-2	1	6	D
10/10	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/10	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
26/09	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
19/09	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	2-1	4-2	10	2	W
05/09	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
29/08	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
23/08	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-2	1-2	7	1	L
19/08	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	3-0	3-0	5	3	W

Rakow Czestochowa II

DLLDWDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-0	3-2	3	6	W
14/10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
10/10	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
18/09	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/09	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
05/09	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
29/08	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	5	9	D
23/08	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
19/08	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-1	1-4	12	3	L
16/08	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Rakow Czestochowa II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Karkonosze Jelenia Gora win (48%). Probabilities: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 48%, draw 25%, Rakow Czestochowa II 27%.

How many goals are expected in Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Rakow Czestochowa II?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 1.64 · Rakow Czestochowa II 1.18), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Rakow Czestochowa II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.