Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 29/07, 21:00

Prediction: Bangor FC (W) vs Greenisland (W)

Team pages: Bangor FC (W) · Greenisland (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.3Total

Bangor FC (W)2.53

Greenisland (W)1.78

1X2

54% 20% 26%

Bangor FC (W) Draw Greenisland (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bangor FC (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Greenisland (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bangor FC (W) 2–1 Greenisland (W) (3 last)

Greenisland (W)1-4Bangor FC (W)
Greenisland (W)1-2Bangor FC (W)
Bangor FC (W)3-4Greenisland (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bangor FC (W) 1550 · Greenisland (W) 1565

	Bangor FC (W)	Draw	Greenisland (W)
Our model	54%	20%	26%
Market	54%	20%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 4.3 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bangor FC (W): 2-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bangor FC (W)	Greenisland (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 2.3	2.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1.1	1.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.6	1.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.9 / 0	0.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.50

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:04 +1’	1.67	4.50	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bangor FC (W) 2–0–1 Greenisland (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Northern Ireland Championship Women	Greenisland (W)	1-4 HT 1-3	Bangor FC (W)
20/06/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women	Greenisland (W)	1-2 HT 1-0	Bangor FC (W)
26/03/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women	Bangor FC (W)	3-4 HT 1-2	Greenisland (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bangor FC (W)	Greenisland (W)
Craigavon City (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Ballymoney United (W)	6-1 W	2-1 W
Strabane Athletic (W)	5-3 W	4-3 W
Ballyclare Comrades (W)	4-1 W	2-1 W
Mid Ulster (W)	7-0 W	6-0 W
St. James Swifts (W)	1-4 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bangor FC (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bangor FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	2-0	2-0	10	0	W
17/07	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women	0-6	1-9	5	2	L
08/07	Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
01/07	Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-0	6-1	3	0	W
17/06	Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	2-0	5-3	8	2	W
03/06	Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	2-0	4-1	8	0	W
13/05	Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	3-0	7-0	3	1	W
06/05	St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-2	1-4	4	1	L
29/04	Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-2	1-4	6	1	L
22/04	Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	3-1	4-1	4	1	W

Greenisland (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	4-1	4-3	7	0	W
10/07	Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	5-0	6-0	2	0	W
08/07	Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
24/06	Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-0	2-1	2	0	W
03/06	St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-2	3-2	3	0	W
06/05	Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
22/04	Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-3	1-4	6	1	L
15/04	Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-0	0-2	7	0	L
08/04	Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	2-1	3-2	3	0	W
01/04	Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-0	1-0	4	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bangor FC (W) vs Greenisland (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bangor FC (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Bangor FC (W) 54%, draw 20%, Greenisland (W) 26%.

How many goals are expected in Bangor FC (W) vs Greenisland (W)?

The model expects 4.3 goals (Bangor FC (W) 2.53 · Greenisland (W) 1.78), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Bangor FC (W) vs Greenisland (W)?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.