Prediction: St. James Swifts (W) vs Strabane Athletic (W)

Team pages: St. James Swifts (W) · Strabane Athletic (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.53Total
St. James Swifts (W)3.12
Strabane Athletic (W)1.41
1X2
71% 15% 14%
St. James Swifts (W) Draw Strabane Athletic (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
St. James Swifts (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWLLLL
Strabane Athletic (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WLDLLLLWLL
Head-to-head
St. James Swifts (W) 1–0 Strabane Athletic (W) (1 last)
  • Strabane Athletic (W)3-4St. James Swifts (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St. James Swifts (W) 1514 · Strabane Athletic (W) 1436
St. James Swifts (W)DrawStrabane Athletic (W)
Our model71%15%14%
Market71%14%14%
Estimated total (ours) 4.53 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St. James Swifts (W) (rating 1514 vs 1436).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

St. James Swifts (W)Strabane Athletic (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 22 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.70.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 41.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.4 / 0.10.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · St. James Swifts (W) 100 Strabane Athletic (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/04/26
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Strabane Athletic (W)3-4
HT 0-0
St. James Swifts (W)

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSt. James Swifts (W)Strabane Athletic (W)
Ballymoney United (W) 1-3 L 0-2 L
Ballyclare Comrades (W) 1-2 L 0-1 L
Sion Swifts (W) 0-5 L 1-9 L
Greenisland (W) 2-3 L 3-4 L
Craigavon City (W) 5-1 W 6-0 W
Ballymena Utd (W) 3-0 W 0-2 L
Bangor FC (W) 4-1 W 3-5 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: St. James Swifts (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St. James Swifts (W)

DWWWWWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-3 1-3 32 L
22/07 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 1-2 71 L
10/07 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-5 13 L
03/06 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 2-3 30 L
20/05 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
4-0 5-1 53 W
13/05 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 3-0 61 W
06/05 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 4-1 21 W
29/04 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 4-3 30 W
22/04 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 5-1 54 W
15/04 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-1 1-1 50 D

Strabane Athletic (W)

WLDLLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-4 1-9 20 L
22/07 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-4 3-4 20 L
08/07 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
4-0 6-0 31 W
24/06 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 0-2 11 L
17/06 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-2 3-5 62 L
03/06 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 0-2 50 L
20/05 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-1 71 L
08/05 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 2-2 21 D
29/04 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 3-4 30 L
15/04 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 2-0 30 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St. James Swifts (W) vs Strabane Athletic (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St. James Swifts (W) win (71%). Probabilities: St. James Swifts (W) 71%, draw 15%, Strabane Athletic (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in St. James Swifts (W) vs Strabane Athletic (W)?

The model expects 4.53 goals (St. James Swifts (W) 3.12 · Strabane Athletic (W) 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in St. James Swifts (W) vs Strabane Athletic (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.