Prediction: Greenisland (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)

Team pages: Greenisland (W) · Ballymena Utd (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.49Total
Greenisland (W)2.11
Ballymena Utd (W)1.38
1X2
54% 22% 24%
Greenisland (W) Draw Ballymena Utd (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Greenisland (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWWWWWWL
Ballymena Utd (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDDLWLDWWW
Head-to-head
Greenisland (W) 1–1 Ballymena Utd (W) (2 last)
  • Ballymena Utd (W)2-3Greenisland (W)
  • Greenisland (W)0-3Ballymena Utd (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Greenisland (W) 1539 · Ballymena Utd (W) 1515
Greenisland (W)DrawBallymena Utd (W)
Our model53%23%24%
Market54%21%25%
Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Greenisland (W)Ballymena Utd (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.91.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.90.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.40.9 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)0.3 / 01.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Greenisland (W) 101 Ballymena Utd (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/06/25
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Ballymena Utd (W)2-3
HT 1-1
Greenisland (W)
02/04/25
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Greenisland (W)0-3
HT 0-2
Ballymena Utd (W)

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGreenisland (W)Ballymena Utd (W)
Bangor FC (W) 1-3 L 0-0 D
Strabane Athletic (W) 4-3 W 2-0 W
Mid Ulster (W) 6-0 W 0-0 D
Ballymoney United (W) 2-1 W 2-4 L
Ballyclare Comrades (W) 2-1 W 5-0 W
St. James Swifts (W) 3-2 W 0-3 L
Craigavon City (W) 2-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ballymena Utd (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Greenisland (W)

WLLWWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 1-3 60 L
22/07 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
4-1 4-3 70 W
10/07 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
5-0 6-0 20 W
08/07 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 2-1 31 W
24/06 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 2-1 20 W
03/06 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-2 3-2 30 W
06/05 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-1 2-1 51 W
22/04 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-3 1-4 61 L
15/04 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-2 70 L
08/04 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 3-2 30 W

Ballymena Utd (W)

LDDLWLDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 3-1 51 W
20/07 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
3-0 5-0 14 W
17/07 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Cup Women
2-0 2-0 20 W
08/07 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-0 31 D
06/07 Crusaders Strikers (W)
Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women
0-2 1-4 10 L
24/06 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 2-0 21 W
17/06 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 2-4 44 L
12/06 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Cup Women
1-1 2-2 D
22/05 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-0 13 D
13/05 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-2 0-3 41 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Greenisland (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Greenisland (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Greenisland (W) 54%, draw 22%, Ballymena Utd (W) 24%.

How many goals are expected in Greenisland (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Greenisland (W) 2.11 · Ballymena Utd (W) 1.38), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Greenisland (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.