Prediction: Mid Ulster (W) vs Ballymoney United (W)

Team pages: Mid Ulster (W) · Ballymoney United (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.34Total
Mid Ulster (W)1.57
Ballymoney United (W)2.76
1X2
20% 18% 62%
Mid Ulster (W) Draw Ballymoney United (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Mid Ulster (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
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Ballymoney United (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Mid Ulster (W) 0–1–1 Ballymoney United (W) (2 last)
  • Ballymoney United (W)6-3Mid Ulster (W)
  • Ballymoney United (W)3-3Mid Ulster (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mid Ulster (W) 1423 · Ballymoney United (W) 1481
Mid Ulster (W)DrawBallymoney United (W)
Our model20%18%62%
Market20%18%62%
Estimated total (ours) 4.34 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ballymoney United (W) (rating 1423 vs 1481).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mid Ulster (W)Ballymoney United (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 3.62.1 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.90.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/10/70%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.21.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.1 / 01.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mid Ulster (W) 011 Ballymoney United (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/04/26
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Ballymoney United (W)6-3
HT 1-2
Mid Ulster (W)
23/04/25
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Ballymoney United (W)3-3
HT 1-1
Mid Ulster (W)

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMid Ulster (W)Ballymoney United (W)
Ballyclare Comrades (W) 3-1 W 1-4 L
Greenisland (W) 0-6 L 1-2 L
Sion Swifts (W) 1-3 L 0-6 L
Craigavon City (W) 0-1 L 2-1 W
Ballymena Utd (W) 0-0 D 4-2 W
Bangor FC (W) 0-7 L 1-6 L
Strabane Athletic (W) 2-2 D 2-0 W
St. James Swifts (W) 1-4 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 5 L 4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ballymoney United (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mid Ulster (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 3-1 22 W
10/07 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-5 0-6 50 L
03/07 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-3 1-3 20 L
05/06 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 0-1 22 L
22/05 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-0 93 D
13/05 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-3 0-7 21 L
08/05 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-2 2-2 51 D
29/04 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 3-6 02 L
03/04 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-2 1-4 40 L
25/03 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-2 1-6 10 L

Ballymoney United (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
3-0 3-1 42 W
08/07 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 1-2 31 L
01/07 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 1-6 30 L
26/06 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 2-1 31 W
17/06 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 4-2 44 W
03/06 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 2-0 30 W
13/05 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-4 1-4 50 L
29/04 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-2 6-3 32 W
22/04 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 1-5 54 L
15/04 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 0-6 13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mid Ulster (W) vs Ballymoney United (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ballymoney United (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Mid Ulster (W) 20%, draw 18%, Ballymoney United (W) 62%.

How many goals are expected in Mid Ulster (W) vs Ballymoney United (W)?

The model expects 4.34 goals (Mid Ulster (W) 1.57 · Ballymoney United (W) 2.76), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Mid Ulster (W) vs Ballymoney United (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.