Prediction: Mid Ulster (W) vs Ballymoney United (W)
Team pages: Mid Ulster (W) · Ballymoney United (W)
- Ballymoney United (W)6-3Mid Ulster (W)
- Ballymoney United (W)3-3Mid Ulster (W)
| Mid Ulster (W) | Draw | Ballymoney United (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| Market | 20% | 18% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ballymoney United (W) (rating 1423 vs 1481).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mid Ulster (W) | Ballymoney United (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 3.6 | 2.1 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.9 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.2 | 1.8 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mid Ulster (W) 0–1–1 Ballymoney United (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Ballymoney United (W) | 6-3 HT 1-2 | Mid Ulster (W) |
| 23/04/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Ballymoney United (W) | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Mid Ulster (W) |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mid Ulster (W) | Ballymoney United (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ballyclare Comrades (W) | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Greenisland (W) | 0-6 L | 1-2 L |
| Sion Swifts (W) | 1-3 L | 0-6 L |
| Craigavon City (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Ballymena Utd (W) | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Bangor FC (W) | 0-7 L | 1-6 L |
| Strabane Athletic (W) | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| St. James Swifts (W) | 1-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 4 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Ballymoney United (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mid Ulster (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-5 | 0-6 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 03/07 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 05/06 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 29/04 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/03 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
Ballymoney United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/07 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 26/06 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/04 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 6-3 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/04 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mid Ulster (W) vs Ballymoney United (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ballymoney United (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Mid Ulster (W) 20%, draw 18%, Ballymoney United (W) 62%.
How many goals are expected in Mid Ulster (W) vs Ballymoney United (W)?
The model expects 4.34 goals (Mid Ulster (W) 1.57 · Ballymoney United (W) 2.76), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Mid Ulster (W) vs Ballymoney United (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.

