Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 04/10, 18:00

Prediction: Jedinstvo UB vs FK Dubocica

Team pages: Jedinstvo UB · FK Dubocica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Jedinstvo UB1.46

FK Dubocica1.19

1X2

42% 28% 30%

Jedinstvo UB Draw FK Dubocica

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Jedinstvo UB 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLWLLL

FK Dubocica 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLWLLWDD

Head-to-head

Jedinstvo UB 2–1–1 FK Dubocica (4 last)

Jedinstvo UB4-0FK Dubocica
FK Dubocica0-0Jedinstvo UB
Jedinstvo UB2-0FK Dubocica
FK Dubocica1-0Jedinstvo UB

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jedinstvo UB 1445 · FK Dubocica 1479

	Jedinstvo UB	Draw	FK Dubocica
Our model	42%	28%	29%
Market	43%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jedinstvo UB: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jedinstvo UB	FK Dubocica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.9	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	6.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.25

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:01 +8’	2.10	3.25	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jedinstvo UB 2–1–1 FK Dubocica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Jedinstvo UB	4-0 HT 1-0	FK Dubocica
24/10/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Dubocica	0-0 HT 0-0	Jedinstvo UB
13/04/24 Serbia Prva Liga	Jedinstvo UB	2-0 HT 0-0	FK Dubocica
05/11/23 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Dubocica	1-0 HT 0-0	Jedinstvo UB

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	11	8	1	2	20	13	25
2	FK Backa Topola	11	5	6	0	20	12	21
3	Smederevo	11	6	3	2	20	13	21
4	OFK Vrsac	11	7	0	4	16	11	21
5	Javor Ivanjica	11	5	5	1	26	13	20
6	Metalac Gornji	11	5	2	4	16	12	17
7	Spartak Subotica	11	4	3	4	18	17	15
8	FK Vozdovac	11	4	3	4	11	10	15
9	Loznica	11	3	6	2	16	16	15
10	FK Dubocica	11	4	3	4	13	15	15
11	FK Napredak	11	4	2	5	10	15	14
12	FK Proleter 023	11	2	4	5	13	15	10
13	FK Graficar Beograd	11	3	1	7	15	19	10
14	Bor 1919	11	2	2	7	7	19	8
15	Jedinstvo UB	11	2	1	8	11	21	7
16	Teleoptik	11	1	4	6	12	23	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jedinstvo UB	FK Dubocica
FK Proleter 023	0-3 L	3-2 W
Loznica	2-3 L	0-0 D
OFK Vrsac	1-3 L	1-2 L
Javor Ivanjica	0-3 L	1-1 D
FK Backa Topola	2-3 L	0-0 D
Teleoptik	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Dubocica (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jedinstvo UB

WLLLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	2	8	L
21/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
16/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
12/09	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
05/09	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
29/08	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
23/08	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
19/08	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
15/08	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	2-3	7	6	L
08/08	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	9	0	W

FK Dubocica

DWLLWLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
21/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
11/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-3	0-5	3	5	L
06/09	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	6	8	L
31/08	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	4-1	5	6	W
23/08	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
19/08	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	5	8	L
15/08	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	3-2	2	10	W
08/08	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jedinstvo UB vs FK Dubocica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jedinstvo UB win (42%). Probabilities: Jedinstvo UB 42%, draw 28%, FK Dubocica 30%.

How many goals are expected in Jedinstvo UB vs FK Dubocica?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Jedinstvo UB 1.46 · FK Dubocica 1.19), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jedinstvo UB vs FK Dubocica?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.