Prediction: Colchagua CD vs Provincial Osorno
Team pages: Colchagua CD · Provincial Osorno
- Colchagua CD0-0Provincial Osorno
- Provincial Osorno2-2Colchagua CD
- Colchagua CD0-0Provincial Osorno
- Provincial Osorno0-1Colchagua CD
- Colchagua CD3-2Provincial Osorno
| Colchagua CD | Draw | Provincial Osorno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 34% | 30% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Provincial Osorno (rating 1441 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Colchagua CD: 2-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colchagua CD | Provincial Osorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.1 / 1 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/90/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.3 | 1.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.7 | 5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colchagua CD 2–3–0 Provincial Osorno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Chile Segunda | Colchagua CD | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Provincial Osorno |
| 18/04/26 Chile Segunda | Provincial Osorno | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Colchagua CD |
| 01/05/22 Chile Tercera | Colchagua CD | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Provincial Osorno |
| 12/11/17 Chile Segunda | Provincial Osorno | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Colchagua CD |
| 16/08/17 Chile Segunda | Colchagua CD | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Provincial Osorno |
Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Deportes Linares | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Concon National | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Brujas de Salamanca | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Provincial Osorno | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Colchagua CD | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colchagua CD | Provincial Osorno |
|---|---|---|
| Concon National | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Linares | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Brujas de Salamanca | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| CD Trasandino de Los Andes | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Santiago City | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Lota Schwager | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| General Velásquez | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Provincial Osorno (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colchagua CD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Concon National Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 02/09 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Santiago City Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 27/06 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
Provincial Osorno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Santiago City Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 08/08 | Concon National Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/06 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colchagua CD vs Provincial Osorno?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colchagua CD win (38%). Probabilities: Colchagua CD 38%, draw 30%, Provincial Osorno 32%.
How many goals are expected in Colchagua CD vs Provincial Osorno?
The model expects 1.99 goals (Colchagua CD 1.05 · Provincial Osorno 0.94), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Colchagua CD vs Provincial Osorno?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.