Football · Chile Segunda · 11/10, 21:00

Prediction: CD Rengo Unido vs AC Colina

Team pages: CD Rengo Unido · AC Colina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

CD Rengo Unido1.42

AC Colina1.41

1X2

37% 27% 36%

CD Rengo Unido Draw AC Colina

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Rengo Unido 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWDWDW

AC Colina 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLDLWW

Head-to-head

CD Rengo Unido 2–1–3 AC Colina (6 last)

AC Colina0-1CD Rengo Unido
CD Rengo Unido1-1AC Colina
CD Rengo Unido2-1AC Colina
AC Colina3-1CD Rengo Unido
AC Colina3-2CD Rengo Unido
CD Rengo Unido1-2AC Colina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Rengo Unido 1538 · AC Colina 1482

	CD Rengo Unido	Draw	AC Colina
Our model	37%	28%	36%
Market	37%	27%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Rengo Unido (rating 1538 vs 1482).
H2H favours AC Colina: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Rengo Unido	AC Colina
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.4	3.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	5.3 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.30

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.46 ★
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:25 +15’	2.45	3.30	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:23 +17’	2.35	3.43	2.53
09:03 +17’	2.36▲	3.46▲	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Rengo Unido 2–1–3 AC Colina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Chile Segunda	AC Colina	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Rengo Unido
04/12/22 Chile Tercera	CD Rengo Unido	1-1 HT 0-1	AC Colina
29/10/22 Chile Tercera	CD Rengo Unido	2-1 HT 0-0	AC Colina
03/09/22 Chile Tercera	AC Colina	3-1 HT 0-1	CD Rengo Unido
01/12/18 Chile Tercera	AC Colina	3-2 HT 0-0	CD Rengo Unido
18/11/18 Chile Tercera	CD Rengo Unido	1-2 HT 1-1	AC Colina

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Rengo Unido	6	4	2	0	15	6	14
2	Provincial Ovalle	6	2	2	2	5	8	8
3	Santiago Morning	6	1	5	0	7	6	8
4	Lota Schwager	6	2	2	2	7	5	8
5	AC Colina	6	2	1	3	5	6	7
6	General Velásquez	6	1	3	2	6	8	6
7	Real Juventud San Joaquin	6	0	3	3	6	12	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Rengo Unido	AC Colina
Provincial Ovalle	5-1 W	0-1 L
Santiago Morning	2-2 D	1-2 L
Real Juventud San Joaquin	5-2 W	1-0 W
General Velásquez	1-1 D	3-2 W
Lota Schwager	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Rengo Unido (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Rengo Unido

LLWLWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	2-0	5-1	2	7	W
06/09	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	2-0	2-2	9	5	D
31/08	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	4-1	5-2	5	7	W
22/08	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
16/08	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
08/08	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
12/07	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
04/07	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	0-1	3-1	8	6	W
27/06	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
20/06	Deportes Linares Chile Segunda	0-1	1-3	5	7	L

AC Colina

LDLWLLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	1-0	3-2	9	5	W
27/09	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	6	9	W
07/09	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
29/08	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
17/08	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
08/08	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
12/07	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	2-0	5-1	5	2	W
04/07	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	1-1	1-2	5	8	L
27/06	Concon National Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
21/06	Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda	1-1	1-2	5	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Rengo Unido vs AC Colina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Rengo Unido win (37%). Probabilities: CD Rengo Unido 37%, draw 27%, AC Colina 36%.

How many goals are expected in CD Rengo Unido vs AC Colina?

The model expects 2.83 goals (CD Rengo Unido 1.42 · AC Colina 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Rengo Unido vs AC Colina?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.