Prediction: Concon National vs Provincial Osorno
Team pages: Concon National · Provincial Osorno
- Provincial Osorno1-0Concon National
- Concon National2-2Provincial Osorno
- Provincial Osorno1-3Concon National
- Concon National3-3Provincial Osorno
- Provincial Osorno2-1Concon National
| Concon National | Draw | Provincial Osorno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Concon National (rating 1516 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Provincial Osorno: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Concon National | Provincial Osorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.6 | 1.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.8 | 5.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Concon National 1–2–2 Provincial Osorno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Chile Segunda | Provincial Osorno | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Concon National |
| 23/08/25 Chile Segunda | Concon National | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Provincial Osorno |
| 05/04/25 Chile Segunda | Provincial Osorno | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Concon National |
| 17/08/24 Chile Segunda | Concon National | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Provincial Osorno |
| 06/04/24 Chile Segunda | Provincial Osorno | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Concon National |
Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Promotion Round
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago City | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Deportes Linares | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Concon National | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Brujas de Salamanca | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Colchagua CD | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Provincial Osorno | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Concon National | Provincial Osorno |
|---|---|---|
| Colchagua CD | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Santiago City | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Linares | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Brujas de Salamanca | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CD Trasandino de Los Andes | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Concon National (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Concon National
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Santiago City Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | Santiago City Chile Segunda |
1-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
Provincial Osorno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Santiago City Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 08/08 | Concon National Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/06 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Concon National vs Provincial Osorno?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Concon National win (42%). Probabilities: Concon National 42%, draw 28%, Provincial Osorno 30%.
How many goals are expected in Concon National vs Provincial Osorno?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Concon National 1.39 · Provincial Osorno 1.12), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Concon National vs Provincial Osorno?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.