Football · Chile Segunda · 11/10, 22:00

Prediction: General Velásquez vs Lota Schwager

Team pages: General Velásquez · Lota Schwager

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

General Velásquez1.05

Lota Schwager1.06

1X2

35% 30% 35%

General Velásquez Draw Lota Schwager

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

General Velásquez 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWDDDL

Lota Schwager 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDWLDDLW

Head-to-head

General Velásquez 1–2 Lota Schwager (3 last)

Lota Schwager3-1General Velásquez
General Velásquez2-1Lota Schwager
Lota Schwager1-0General Velásquez

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · General Velásquez 1483 · Lota Schwager 1512

	General Velásquez	Draw	Lota Schwager
Our model	33%	33%	34%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lota Schwager: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	General Velásquez	Lota Schwager
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.2	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.8	6.7 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.55▲	Pinn 2.60 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.55 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.5% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:23 +19’	2.45	3.20	2.55
23:54 +8’	2.55▲	3.20	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:13 +64’	2.60	3.13	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · General Velásquez 1–0–2 Lota Schwager

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Chile Segunda	Lota Schwager	3-1 HT 2-1	General Velásquez
28/06/26 Chile Segunda	General Velásquez	2-1 HT 2-1	Lota Schwager
25/04/26 Chile Segunda	Lota Schwager	1-0 HT 0-0	General Velásquez

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Rengo Unido	6	4	2	0	15	6	14
2	Provincial Ovalle	6	2	2	2	5	8	8
3	Santiago Morning	6	1	5	0	7	6	8
4	Lota Schwager	6	2	2	2	7	5	8
5	AC Colina	6	2	1	3	5	6	7
6	General Velásquez	6	1	3	2	6	8	6
7	Real Juventud San Joaquin	6	0	3	3	6	12	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	General Velásquez	Lota Schwager
AC Colina	2-3 L	0-0 D
Santiago Morning	0-0 D	1-1 D
Real Juventud San Joaquin	1-1 D	2-0 W
CD Rengo Unido	1-1 D	0-1 L
Provincial Ovalle	1-0 W	1-2 L
Provincial Osorno	0-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lota Schwager (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

General Velásquez

LWDLLWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-1	2-3	1	5	L
12/09	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
06/09	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
22/08	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
16/08	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
08/08	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	1-2	1-3	5	7	L
01/08	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
26/07	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	7	10	D
12/07	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	0-0	2-0	10	3	W
04/07	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	0-1	0-3	10	5	L

Lota Schwager

DLWDWLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
26/09	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	0-2	1-2	7	9	L
29/08	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
22/08	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/08	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
08/08	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	2-1	3-1	6	7	W
12/07	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	0-0	2-2	10	7	D
05/07	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	0-0	2-0	2	10	W
28/06	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	1-2	1-2	4	6	L
21/06	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	0-1	1-1	2	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in General Velásquez vs Lota Schwager?

According to our model, the most likely result is a General Velásquez win (35%). Probabilities: General Velásquez 35%, draw 30%, Lota Schwager 35%.

How many goals are expected in General Velásquez vs Lota Schwager?

The model expects 2.1 goals (General Velásquez 1.05 · Lota Schwager 1.06), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in General Velásquez vs Lota Schwager?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.