Football · Chile Segunda · 10/10, 20:00

Prediction: Santiago City vs Colchagua CD

Team pages: Santiago City · Colchagua CD

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Santiago City1.26
Colchagua CD1.02
1X2
41% 30% 29%
Santiago City Draw Colchagua CD
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago City 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWLWDWWWD
Colchagua CD 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DWLLLDLLLW
Head-to-head
Santiago City 1–1 Colchagua CD (2 last)
  • Colchagua CD0-1Santiago City
  • Colchagua CD2-1Santiago City
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santiago City 1547 · Colchagua CD 1451
Santiago CityDrawColchagua CD
Our model40%31%29%
Market41%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago City (rating 1547 vs 1451).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santiago CityColchagua CD
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.40.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.1 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.13 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.65.4 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago City 1–0–1 Colchagua CD

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/08/26
Chile Segunda
Colchagua CD0-1
HT 0-0
Santiago City
02/09/23
Chile Tercera
Colchagua CD2-1
HT 1-0
Santiago City

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Promotion Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Santiago City 5320 8311
2 Deportes Linares 6312 6710
3 CD Trasandino de Los Andes 6231 1069
4 Concon National 6303 789
5 Brujas de Salamanca 5302 569
6 Colchagua CD 6114 244
7 Provincial Osorno 6114 594

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSantiago CityColchagua CD
CD Trasandino de Los Andes 1-1 D 0-0 D
Brujas de Salamanca 1-0 W 0-1 L
Provincial Osorno 2-1 W 2-0 W
Concon National 3-0 W 0-1 L
Deportes Linares 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Santiago City (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santiago City

WLWLWDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-1 85 D
26/09 Brujas de Salamanca
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-0 23 W
13/09 Provincial Osorno
Chile Segunda
1-0 2-1 15 W
05/09 Concon National
Chile Segunda
1-0 3-0 44 W
22/08 Deportes Linares
Chile Segunda
1-1 1-1 26 D
09/08 Colchagua CD
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-0 46 W
11/07 Concon National
Chile Segunda
2-1 2-4 23 L
26/06 Provincial Ovalle
Chile Segunda
1-2 3-2 87 W
20/06 CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Chile Segunda
1-3 1-5 84 L
06/06 AC Colina
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-0 23 W

Colchagua CD

DWLLLDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Provincial Osorno
Chile Segunda
1-0 2-0 174 W
13/09 Concon National
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 47 L
05/09 Deportes Linares
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 59 L
02/09 Brujas de Salamanca
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 76 L
22/08 CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 53 D
09/08 Santiago City
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 86 L
12/07 Deportes Linares
Chile Segunda
0-1 0-4 73 L
05/07 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-2 410 L
27/06 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-0 34 W
21/06 Provincial Osorno
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 37 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santiago City vs Colchagua CD?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santiago City win (41%). Probabilities: Santiago City 41%, draw 30%, Colchagua CD 29%.

How many goals are expected in Santiago City vs Colchagua CD?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Santiago City 1.26 · Colchagua CD 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Santiago City vs Colchagua CD?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.