Prediction: Santiago Morning vs Real Juventud San Joaquin
Team pages: Santiago Morning · Real Juventud San Joaquin
- Real Juventud San Joaquin2-2Santiago Morning
- Real Juventud San Joaquin0-0Santiago Morning
| Santiago Morning | Draw | Real Juventud San Joaquin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santiago Morning | Real Juventud San Joaquin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.2 | 5.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Morning 0–2–0 Real Juventud San Joaquin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/26 Chile Segunda | Real Juventud San Joaquin | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Santiago Morning |
| 15/06/24 Chile Cup | Real Juventud San Joaquin | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Santiago Morning |
Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Rengo Unido | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Provincial Ovalle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| 3 | Santiago Morning | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 4 | Lota Schwager | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | AC Colina | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | General Velásquez | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Real Juventud San Joaquin | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santiago Morning | Real Juventud San Joaquin |
|---|---|---|
| General Velásquez | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| CD Rengo Unido | 2-2 D | 2-5 L |
| Provincial Ovalle | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Lota Schwager | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| AC Colina | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Santiago Morning (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Morning
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/08 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/07 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Real Juventud San Joaquin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 06/09 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 31/08 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
1-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 10/08 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
0-2 | 1-5 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 21/06 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
3-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Morning vs Real Juventud San Joaquin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santiago Morning win (49%). Probabilities: Santiago Morning 49%, draw 27%, Real Juventud San Joaquin 23%.
How many goals are expected in Santiago Morning vs Real Juventud San Joaquin?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Santiago Morning 1.59 · Real Juventud San Joaquin 1.03), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Santiago Morning vs Real Juventud San Joaquin?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.