Prediction: Real Juventud San Joaquin vs Lota Schwager
Team pages: Real Juventud San Joaquin · Lota Schwager
| Real Juventud San Joaquin | Draw | Lota Schwager | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lota Schwager (rating 1448 vs 1498).
- Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Juventud San Joaquin | Lota Schwager | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 1.7 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.2 | 6.7 / 0.4 |
Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Rengo Unido | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Santiago Morning | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 3 | Provincial Ovalle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | General Velásquez | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Lota Schwager | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | AC Colina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Real Juventud San Joaquin | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Juventud San Joaquin | Lota Schwager |
|---|---|---|
| AC Colina | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| General Velásquez | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| CD Rengo Unido | 2-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Provincial Ovalle | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Santiago Morning | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lota Schwager (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Juventud San Joaquin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 06/09 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 31/08 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
1-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 10/08 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
0-2 | 1-5 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 21/06 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
3-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Concon National Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
Lota Schwager
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 29/08 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 05/07 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 28/06 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 14/06 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Juventud San Joaquin vs Lota Schwager?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Juventud San Joaquin win (36%). Probabilities: Real Juventud San Joaquin 36%, draw 28%, Lota Schwager 36%.
How many goals are expected in Real Juventud San Joaquin vs Lota Schwager?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Real Juventud San Joaquin 1.4 · Lota Schwager 1.4), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Juventud San Joaquin vs Lota Schwager?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.