Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 02/08, 03:06
Prediction: Tigres UANL (W) vs Puebla (W)
Team pages: Tigres UANL (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.82Total
Tigres UANL (W)2.91
Puebla (W)0.91
1X2
Tigres UANL (W)
Draw
Puebla (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres UANL (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Puebla (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tigres UANL (W)
6–0
Puebla (W)
(6 last)
- Tigres UANL (W)4-0Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)0-3Tigres UANL (W)
- Puebla (W)0-3Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)3-0Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)0-6Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)4-0Puebla (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tigres UANL (W) 1554 · Puebla (W) 1414
| Tigres UANL (W) | Draw | Puebla (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 87% | 8% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.82 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres UANL (W) (rating 1554 vs 1414).
- H2H favours Tigres UANL (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres UANL (W) | Puebla (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 0.6 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.6 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres UANL (W) 6–0–0 Puebla (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 05/10/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 12/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 23/07/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 01/04/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 18/07/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 4-0 HT 4-0 | Puebla (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Liga MX, Women 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlas (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pachuca (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club America (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Necaxa (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Puebla (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tijuana (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Unam Pumas (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigres UANL (W) | Puebla (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Club America (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Queretaro (W) | 6-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Club America (W) Mexico Champions of Champions Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 06/04 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 03/04 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 28/03 | Club America (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/03 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 23/03 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/03 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Puebla (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/03 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 12/03 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 22/02 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/02 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/02 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres UANL (W) vs Puebla (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres UANL (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Tigres UANL (W) 83%, draw 11%, Puebla (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL (W) vs Puebla (W)?
The model expects 3.82 goals (Tigres UANL (W) 2.91 · Puebla (W) 0.91), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres UANL (W) vs Puebla (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.