Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 04/08, 03:06
Prediction: Santos Laguna (W) vs Club America (W)
Team pages: Club America (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.89Total
Santos Laguna (W)0.95
Club America (W)2.95
1X2
Santos Laguna (W)
Draw
Club America (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Santos Laguna (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Club America (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santos Laguna (W)
0–6
Club America (W)
(6 last)
- Santos Laguna (W)1-2Club America (W)
- Club America (W)6-3Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)0-3Club America (W)
- Club America (W)2-0Santos Laguna (W)
- Santos Laguna (W)0-5Club America (W)
- Club America (W)6-0Santos Laguna (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santos Laguna (W) 1429 · Club America (W) 1617
| Santos Laguna (W) | Draw | Club America (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 8% | 12% | 81% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (W) (rating 1429 vs 1617).
- H2H favours Club America (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santos Laguna (W) | Club America (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 3.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.6 | 3.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.4 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santos Laguna (W) 0–0–6 Club America (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Club America (W) |
| 29/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 6-3 HT 2-1 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 29/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Club America (W) |
| 26/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
| 23/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Santos Laguna (W) | 0-5 HT 0-0 | Club America (W) |
| 24/07/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 6-0 HT 4-0 | Santos Laguna (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Liga MX, Women 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club America (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Necaxa (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Unam Pumas (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Tijuana (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | Pachuca (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | Atlas (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Puebla (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santos Laguna (W) | Club America (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Pachuca (W) | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Juarez FC (W) | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Tigres UANL (W) | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Toluca (W) | 0-1 L | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Club America (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santos Laguna (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 03/04 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 29/03 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 22/03 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/03 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/02 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/02 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 11/02 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
Club America (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Champions of Champions Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Washington Spirit (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
2-1 | 5-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-3 | 4-3 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
4-1 | 7-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santos Laguna (W) vs Club America (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Club America (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Santos Laguna (W) 8%, draw 13%, Club America (W) 79%.
How many goals are expected in Santos Laguna (W) vs Club America (W)?
The model expects 3.89 goals (Santos Laguna (W) 0.95 · Club America (W) 2.95), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Santos Laguna (W) vs Club America (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.