Football · Bulgaria Second League · 11/08, 17:00

Prediction: CSKA Sofia II vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Team pages: CSKA Sofia II · FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
CSKA Sofia II1.61
FC Hebar Pazardzhik1.04
1X2
50% 27% 23%
CSKA Sofia II Draw FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CSKA Sofia II 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWDLWWDW
FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
DLLLWDLLLL
Head-to-head
CSKA Sofia II 1–1–0 FC Hebar Pazardzhik (2 last)
  • CSKA Sofia II2-0FC Hebar Pazardzhik
  • FC Hebar Pazardzhik1-1CSKA Sofia II
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSKA Sofia II 1562 · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1427
CSKA Sofia IIDrawFC Hebar Pazardzhik
Our model50%27%23%
Market50%26%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSKA Sofia II (rating 1562 vs 1427).
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CSKA Sofia IIFC Hebar Pazardzhik
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 0.70.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.23 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.14.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSKA Sofia II 110 FC Hebar Pazardzhik

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/04/26
Bulgaria Second League
CSKA Sofia II2-0
HT 1-0
FC Hebar Pazardzhik
14/09/25
Bulgaria Second League
FC Hebar Pazardzhik1-1
HT 0-0
CSKA Sofia II

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 3300 829
2 Spartak Pleven 3210 637
3 FK Fratria 3201 316
3 Ludogorets Razgrad II 2200 316
5 Chernomorets Burgas 3120 325
6 Vihren Sandanski 3120 545
7 Sportist Svoge 3120 325
8 PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 2110 514
9 CSKA Sofia II 2110 414
10 Montana 2110 534
11 Beroe 2101 223
12 Marek Dupnitsa 3102 233
13 Rilski Sportist 3012 241
14 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 3012 251
15 FC Hebar Pazardzhik 2002 350
16 Yantra Gabrovo 2002 140
17 Nesebar 2002 280
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 3003 190

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCSKA Sofia IIFC Hebar Pazardzhik
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3-0 W 2-2 D
Vihren Sandanski 1-1 D 2-3 L
Sportist Svoge 1-0 W 0-1 L
Marek Dupnitsa 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CSKA Sofia II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSKA Sofia II

LWWWDLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgaria Second League
0-0 3-0 34 W
28/07 Vihren Sandanski
Bulgaria Second League
0-0 1-1 55 D
23/05 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgaria Second League
1-0 3-0 W
11/05 Minyor Pernik
Bulgaria Second League
2-1 2-1 38 W
04/05 Yantra Gabrovo
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 0-1 52 L
26/04 FK Fratria
Bulgaria Second League
2-2 2-2 16 D
22/04 FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgaria Second League
1-0 2-0 82 W
17/04 FC Sevlievo
Bulgaria Second League
1-1 6-1 106 W
10/04 Sportist Svoge
Bulgaria Second League
1-0 1-0 25 W
05/04 Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 0-1 17 L

FC Hebar Pazardzhik

DLLLWDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Vihren Sandanski
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 2-3 76 L
24/07 Beroe
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 1-2 65 L
24/06 KF Ballkani
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 53 L
23/05 Sportist Svoge
Bulgaria Second League
0-0 0-1 L
15/05 Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 1-1 54 D
10/05 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgaria Second League
0-0 1-0 57 W
04/05 Ludogorets Razgrad II
Bulgaria Second League
0-2 1-2 104 L
27/04 Chernomorets Burgas
Bulgaria Second League
1-2 1-3 L
22/04 CSKA Sofia II
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 0-2 62 L
16/04 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 2-2 63 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSKA Sofia II vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSKA Sofia II win (50%). Probabilities: CSKA Sofia II 50%, draw 27%, FC Hebar Pazardzhik 23%.

How many goals are expected in CSKA Sofia II vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?

The model expects 2.65 goals (CSKA Sofia II 1.61 · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1.04), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia II vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.