Prediction: Moreirense vs Braga
- Moreirense0-1Braga
- Braga2-1Moreirense
- Moreirense1-2Braga
- Braga3-1Moreirense
- Braga0-2Moreirense
- Braga1-0Moreirense
| Moreirense | Draw | Braga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 28% | 54% |
| Market | 20% | 25% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Braga (rating 1463 vs 1585).
- H2H favours Braga: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moreirense | Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 25/63/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.2 | 1.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moreirense 1–0–5 Braga
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Portugal Primeira Liga | Moreirense | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Braga |
| 09/11/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Braga | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Moreirense |
| 03/02/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Moreirense | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Braga |
| 25/08/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Braga | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Moreirense |
| 10/07/24 Club Friendly List | Braga | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Moreirense |
| 04/02/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Braga | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Moreirense |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academico Viseu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maritimo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moreirense | Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Benfica | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Estoril | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Moreirense (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moreirense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Amarante Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 22/07 | Santa Clara Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | AVS Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/05 | Tondela Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Benfica Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/04 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | Famalicao Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 11 | D |
| 04/04 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Braga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 22/07 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Celta Vigo Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 10/07 | Stoke Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Buxton Club Friendly List |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Sao Joao Ver Club Friendly List |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 11/05 | Benfica Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/05 | SC Freiburg UEFA Europa League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moreirense vs Braga?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Braga win (54%). Probabilities: Moreirense 19%, draw 26%, Braga 54%.
How many goals are expected in Moreirense vs Braga?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Moreirense 0.81 · Braga 1.55), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Moreirense vs Braga?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.